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Hurricanes at Coyotes
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV NHLN, BSSO·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 5-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 6:28 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 65% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 30, ARI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 A), 2. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2152916530
ARIARI11605010131

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(9)
    B. Skjei (22), J. Staal (12)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:16
  2. CAR
    J. Chatfield(5)
    M. Necas (20), J. Drury (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:50
  3. ARI
    D. Guenther(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:32

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(17)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.11win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:28
  2. CAR
    T. Teravainen(17)PPG
    J. Drury (16), S. Noesen (17)
    wristxG 0.42win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:16

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(12)
    M. Necas (21)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    4:37

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 20:00CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 13:48CARJordan Martinook · Hookingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 15:36ARINick Bjugstad · Roughingdrawn by Jalen Chatfield2 min

3rd

  • 0:38CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 12:35ARIJ.J. Moser · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min
  • 14:45CARPyotr Kochetkov · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCAR goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 2nd 6:28 — CAR 65% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.20M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.18M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.11D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.09J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.09C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.05M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.05L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.00S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsARI
3.15 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.24 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR70%30%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsARI
30
Shots on goal
31
75%
Faceoffs
25%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
30
10
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+150.22020—22:59
76B. SkjeiD011+100.03002—22:12
74J. SlavinD000+130.08030—21:25
22B. PesceD000+120.09120—19:24
20S. AhoC000020.330008617:09
71J. FastR000020.5411010016:15
18J. DruryC022+120.121008615:56
7D. OrlovD000+110.10000—15:55
58M. BuntingL101+120.15200—15:20
86T. TeravainenC101020.43000015:18
88M. NecasC022+110.211002015:18
5J. ChatfieldD101+110.10000—14:42
37A. SvechnikovR000020.1440010014:03
24S. JarvisR101+210.1101010013:56
48J. MartinookL101+220.14004—13:55
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.011106713:34
11J. StaalC011+200.001007912:57
23S. NoesenR011010.27200—11:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)31301.9681.92+0.9260:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).