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Coyotes at Hurricanes
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV BSSO, SCRIPPS·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 19:24 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.2 to 1.3; shots on goal were ARI 11, CAR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 92% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 10 of 11 (.909). Three stars: 1. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 2. Jaccob Slavin, 3. Martin Necas (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    D. Orlov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI180300111
CARCAR07114218339

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. Cooley(6)
    D. Guenther (4), J. Moser (15)
    deflectedxG 0.56win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:21

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(13)PPG
    S. Jarvis (22), B. Burns (19)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:57

3rd period

  1. CAR
    D. Orlov(3)
    J. Drury (14), J. Chatfield (9)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +47 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:24
  2. CAR
    J. Fast(5)
    S. Jarvis (23)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:37

Penalties

ARI 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:57CARMartin Necas · High stickingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 6:05ARIJason Zucker · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 6:05CARMichael Bunting · Embellishment2 min
  • 7:32ARINick Bjugstad · Holdingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 15:02ARILogan Cooley · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalARI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 3rd 19:24 — CAR 52% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.38J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.21T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.21M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.20S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.19M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.17M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.13J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.13T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.12T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.10J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.09J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.09J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.09M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.07D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 4.2 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCAR
1.31 G
All situations
3 G4.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G3.5
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI8%92%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.25 – 4.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCAR
11
Shots on goal
39
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
24
24
Blocked shots
14
7
Giveaways
6
10
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000010.04030—26:51
90J. MoserD011+110.03020—26:03
9C. KellerR000020.270205022:31
15A. KerfootC000-210.120104418:49
3J. BrownD000010.02210—18:09
5M. KesselringD000-100.00220—17:49
67L. CrouseL000000.00220—17:19
63M. MaccelliL000-100.00000—17:00
8N. SchmaltzC000-100.00210016:32
17N. BjugstadC000010.031024315:53
4J. VälimäkiD000-100.01110—15:37
16J. ZuckerL000-110.04212—15:06
77V. SoderstromD000000.00110—13:20
22J. McBainC000000.001103013:18
11D. GuentherR011010.08030—12:46
92L. CooleyC101+110.562122012:36
38L. O'BrienC000000.00310008:48
53M. CarconeL000010.08010—07:08
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)39363.9234.21+1.2160:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).