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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸5
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV TNT, truTV·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 4:28 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 46% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 23, PIT 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Lundell (2 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0441217523
PITPIT03111113227

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(18)
    E. Rodrigues (23), G. Forsling (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:28
  2. FLA
    J. Gadjovich(2)
    B. Montour (10), K. Stenlund (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:02
  3. FLA
    A. Ekblad(3)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (40), E. Rodrigues (24)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:27
  4. FLA
    A. Lundell(5)
    M. Tkachuk (41), N. Cousins (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:02
  5. PIT
    B. Rust(14)
    J. Guentzel (30), C. Ruhwedel (2)
    deflectedxG 0.48win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    15:24

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(6)
    E. Luostarinen (6)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-1
    5:35
  2. PIT
    J. Ludvig(1)
    D. O'Connor (10), L. Eller (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:07

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:56FLARyan Lomberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:14FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 20:00FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 20:00PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 2:22FLAEvan Rodrigues · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 6:45PITMarcus Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 15:24FLAserved by R. Lomberg · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:47PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 4:28 — FLA 46% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.48J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.37E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.24J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.14C. White · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.09C. White · Missed · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.07E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · Missed · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04J. Ludvig · Goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
2.25 G
All situations
2 G3.3
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA31%69%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
23
Shots on goal
27
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
16
1
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011+210.02210—24:00
62B. MontourD011+120.10040—23:59
5A. EkbladD101+130.14200—23:04
13S. ReinhartC000020.401106721:43
16A. BarkovC000010.210005621:22
77N. MikkolaD000-110.09310—20:19
23C. VerhaegheC000010.102003320:10
19M. TkachukL123+120.51420—17:48
27E. LuostarinenC011+110.02100015:57
9S. BennettC000010.091102015:07
15A. LundellC202+220.251204515:05
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+110.01014—13:56
17E. RodriguesC022+220.12002013:48
7D. KulikovD000020.01000—12:48
21N. CousinsC011000.0822010010:28
82K. StenlundC011000.000004009:50
94R. LombergL000000.00002—05:28
12J. GadjovichL101010.05100—05:08
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)27252.9263.31+1.3160:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).