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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Penguins scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 6:10 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 26, FLA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (25 saves, .962), 2. Eetu Luostarinen (1 G), 3. Anton Lundell (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Lundell2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01111104126
FLAFLA07113213333

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Smith(7)
    E. Malkin (12), V. Puustinen (1)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:05
  2. FLA
    O. Ekman-Larsson(7)
    A. Lundell (9), C. Verhaeghe (10)
    pokexG 0.52win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:04

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(3)
    E. Rodrigues (15), A. Lundell (10)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:10
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(9)EN
    S. Reinhart (16), A. Ekblad (4)
    wristxG 0.63win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:33

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:40FLAAleksander Barkov · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 2:46FLACarter Verhaeghe · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 9:46PITEvgeni Malkin · Slashingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 14:55PITMarcus Pettersson · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

3rd

  • 17:21FLAAnton Lundell · Hookingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 3rd 6:10 — FLA 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.63O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.52E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.25N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.17N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.14C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.12M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11J. Gadjovich · Missed · xG 0.10E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.1 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
2.91 G
All situations
2 G4.1
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT44%56%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 3.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
31
20
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000030.07030—25:38
58K. LetangD000-210.01310—24:47
28M. PetterssonD000000.05232—22:13
59J. GuentzelC000-140.5422010021:26
87S. CrosbyC000-140.410004721:02
71E. MalkinC011020.101226720:09
27R. GravesD000-100.00100—20:01
10D. O'ConnorL000-110.35010—17:07
20L. EllerC000-120.330005017:06
13V. HinostrozaC000-120.09120016:56
19R. SmithR101040.60110—16:56
77J. CarterC000-120.212102516:38
48V. PuustinenR011+110.04310—14:18
7J. LudvigD000-100.00520—11:30
5R. SheaD000-100.00100—11:26
9M. JohnstoneR000-100.0020010007:19
43J. HarkinsC000000.0021010007:07
44J. GrudenL000000.11200—05:56
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(L)32302.9383.45+1.4558:25

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).