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Blues at Maple Leafs
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
FinalTV BSMW, TSN4·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexey Toropchenko's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 1.4; shots on goal were STL 15, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Bobby McMann (3 G), 2. Noah Gregor (1 A), 3. Alexey Toropchenko (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    B. McMann3 G
  2. ★★
    TOR
    N. Gregor1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    A. Toropchenko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL031804115
TORTOR21009213432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(3)
    N. Gregor (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:33
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(26)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:25

2nd period

  1. STL
    A. Toropchenko(9)
    N. Walker (2), M. Kessel (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:36

3rd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(4)
    T. Brodie (12), S. Benoit (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    8:02
  2. TOR
    B. McMann(5)EN
    M. Giordano (6), D. Kampf (5)
    wristxG 0.48Video
    1-4
    18:21

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:08TORMax Domi · Interferencedrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 10:50TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 18:04STLColton Parayko · Slashingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min

3rd

  • 4:59STLSammy Blais · Trippingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSTL goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexey Toropchenko, 2nd 5:36 — STL 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.48M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.31W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.29N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.20M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.19T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.17P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.16A. Steeves · Missed · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.14N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.13T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.09M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.09B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.08M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.07M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.05R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05A. Steeves · Missed · xG 0.04W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.04J. McCabe · Missed · xG 0.04B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.03P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.00A. Steeves · On goal · xG 0.00B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR4 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsTOR
1.41 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.11 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL16%84%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 3.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsTOR
15
Shots on goal
32
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
38
Hits
43
10
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-110.05202—24:32
47T. KrugD000-210.20000—23:33
4N. LeddyD000010.04210—22:29
51M. KesselD011-100.06230—21:56
18R. ThomasC000-210.031104419:26
89P. BuchnevichL000-210.01100—19:24
25J. KyrouR000-210.06300—18:00
10B. SchennC000-200.002004016:23
63J. NeighboursL000-200.17120—15:11
13A. ToropchenkoR101030.14700—15:10
20B. SaadL000020.17100—14:15
70O. SundqvistC000-100.003105013:32
26N. WalkerL011-110.15400—13:12
42K. KapanenR000010.04200—13:11
12K. HayesR000010.280002512:42
6M. ScandellaD000010.03100—11:57
43C. RosenD000-100.00010—11:49
79S. BlaisL000+100.00612—10:10
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)31283.9033.55+0.5559:08

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).