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Avalanche at Panthers
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV ALT, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 16:56 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 71% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 34, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 37 of 41 (.902), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 34 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (34 saves, 1.000), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky34 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL014010010034
FLAFLA21112218441

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(26)PPG
    A. Barkov (38), M. Tkachuk (38)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:19
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(39)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (39), A. Barkov (39)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    16:56

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(10)
    D. Kulikov (13), E. Rodrigues (22)
    slapxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:52

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Barkov(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:20

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·FLA 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:47FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 9:49COLLogan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 16:09COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCOL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 1st 16:56 — FLA 71% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.34C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.25E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.22C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.21A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.21C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.20B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.19S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.18C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.18G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.15E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.12E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.08D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.07E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.06B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 4.8 xG · 66 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsFLA
2.30 G
All situations
4 G4.8
2.00 G
Even strength
2 G3.9
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 112 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL17%83%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 4.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsFLA
34
Shots on goal
41
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
35
21
Blocked shots
10
12
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000020.13110—22:35
96M. RantanenR000-150.490107521:55
4B. ByramD000-120.04430—20:48
7D. ToewsD000040.16142—19:55
42J. MansonD000-130.10310—19:28
29N. MacKinnonC000010.160203318:19
49S. GirardD000-140.05340—17:58
3J. JohnsonD000-110.05410—17:08
62A. LehkonenL000-210.05000—16:39
25L. O'ConnorR000020.16002—16:31
20R. ColtonC000-120.351104616:28
27J. DrouinL000010.12000—16:23
12R. JohansenC000-110.103103815:53
28M. WoodL000010.06000—15:32
9Z. PariseL000-110.1011010014:59
22F. OlofssonL000010.052001710:37
11A. CoglianoC000020.06010009:20
94J. KivirantaL000000.04000—08:15
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)41374.9024.78+0.7860:00

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).