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Panthers at Avalanche
NHL

Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸8
Colorado Avalanche
4
FinalTV ALT, BSFL·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Colorado Avalanche 8-4. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Drouin's goal at 3:31 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 26% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were FLA 29, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (3 G), 2. Aleksander Barkov (4 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart3 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov4 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA31017412829
COLCOL0831414426

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(21)
    M. Tkachuk (25), S. Bennett (7)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:10
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(26)
    G. Forsling (10), A. Barkov (29)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:02
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(27)
    A. Barkov (30), E. Rodrigues (18)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:41

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(9)
    N. MacKinnon (43), M. Rantanen (29)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:21
  2. COL
    J. Manson(5)
    V. Nichushkin (20), L. O'Connor (9)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:52
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(20)PPG
    C. Makar (38), M. Rantanen (30)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-3
    4:35
  4. FLA
    O. Ekman-Larsson(8)
    A. Barkov (31), E. Rodrigues (19)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 ptsVideo
    4-3
    8:50

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(9)
    S. Girard (5)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-4
    3:31
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(28)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (26), A. Barkov (32)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +24 ptsVideo
    5-4
    5:59
  3. FLA
    K. Stenlund(7)
    R. Lomberg (1)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    6-4
    8:59
  4. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(8)
    C. Verhaeghe (17), A. Ekblad (8)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +2 ptsVideo
    7-4
    16:17
  5. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(22)EN
    M. Tkachuk (27), G. Forsling (11)
    backhandxG 0.45Video
    8-4
    16:54

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·COL 12 PIM

1st

  • 11:48FLAAleksander Barkov · High sticking double minordrawn by Joel Kiviranta4 min
  • 16:59COLFredrik Olofsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

2nd

  • 4:00FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 4:00COLSamuel Girard · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 4:00FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 16:56FLARyan Lomberg · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 4:47COLRoss Colton · High sticking double minordrawn by Evan Rodrigues4 min
  • 5:13COLLogan O'Connor · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:56COLKurtis MacDermid · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalFLA goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Drouin, 3rd 3:31 — COL 26% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.17J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.14V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.11L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Meyers · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCOL
2.87 G
All situations
4 G1.9
1.26 G
Even strength
3 G1.1
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA58%42%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/5
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
12
14
Hits
18
6
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-120.08220—21:41
5A. EkbladD011+320.41200—20:33
13S. ReinhartC303+240.650207120:31
42G. ForslingD022+410.18110—20:12
16A. BarkovC044+240.202045718:58
77N. MikkolaD000000.00200—18:47
91O. Ekman-LarssonD101+110.02000—18:09
27E. LuostarinenC000010.06110017:58
17E. RodriguesC022+210.08000017:55
15A. LundellC000+120.120004717:32
7D. KulikovD000+100.00000—17:18
23C. VerhaegheC213+120.71000016:48
19M. TkachukL134+140.12104—16:17
94R. LombergL011+120.03002—13:10
82K. StenlundC101+120.070005012:06
9S. BennettC011010.060005610:58
67W. LockwoodR000+100.00300—09:06
12J. GadjovichL000000.00000—05:44
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)26224.8461.90-2.1059:42

Season series

FLA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).