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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV MNMT, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 4-2. The Capitals scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Lomberg's goal at 14:28 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 23, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Ryan Lomberg (1 G), 2. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    R. Lomberg1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Tkachuk1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1131406223
FLAFLA013212216441

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(11)PPG
    R. Sandin (12), C. McMichael (9)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    16:38

2nd period

  1. FLA
    M. Tkachuk(17)
    G. Forsling (15)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:29
  2. WSH
    A. Mantha(16)
    M. Sgarbossa (1), A. Protas (16)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:03
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(38)PPG
    M. Tkachuk (36), C. Verhaeghe (27)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:32

3rd period

  1. FLA
    R. Lomberg(3)
    D. Kulikov (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +37 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:28
  2. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(9)EN
    M. Tkachuk (37)
    wristxG 0.77win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:06

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·FLA 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:14FLAJonah Gadjovich · Boardingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 6:22WSHBeck Malenstyn · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 7:32FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 7:32WSHMartin Fehérváry · Slashingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 8:31FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Beck Malenstyn0 min
  • 9:52WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 15:00FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 19:39WSHT.J. Oshie · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min

2nd

  • 8:28WSHNic Dowd · Trippingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich2 min
  • 17:20WSHTom Wilson · Elbowingdrawn by Kevin Stenlund2 min

3rd

  • 16:24FLABrandon Montour · Cross checkingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Lomberg, 3rd 14:28 — FLA 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.77M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.29A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.29K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.23J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.20R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.19O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.19S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.18S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.16K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.16M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.13S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.12K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.10K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.09E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.09B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.08O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Luostarinen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.00K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 5.2 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
1.92 G
All situations
3 G5.2
1.11 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH14%86%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 4.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
23
Shots on goal
41
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
23
27
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
6
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000020.08060—26:19
38R. SandinD011-200.00360—19:38
8A. OvechkinL101-230.10110—19:30
43T. WilsonR000-130.22212—18:56
24C. McMichaelL011-210.000105818:46
17D. StromeC000-220.250205318:21
3N. JensenD000-100.00130—17:52
42M. FehérváryD000-100.02132—17:32
77T. OshieR000-120.26112—17:02
6J. EdmundsonD000020.03100—16:24
25E. BearD000+100.11220—15:51
39A. ManthaR101010.11200—14:43
47B. MalenstynL000-120.48402—14:32
21A. ProtasL011+130.08110—13:02
67M. PaciorettyL000-110.04100—12:54
26N. DowdC000000.060045312:42
23M. SgarbossaC011+100.001006709:19
45M. PhillipsR000010.03100—08:54
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)40373.9254.39+1.3959:31

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).