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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/OTTV TNT, MAX·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Sam Reinhart scoring at 0:15. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 0:15 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 25, WSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 3. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Mantha2 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA280611011425
WSHWSH1112701000328

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    A. Mantha(2)
    A. Protas (2), D. Kuemper (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:42
  2. FLA
    O. Ekman-Larsson(3)
    M. Tkachuk (9), A. Lundell (4)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:49
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(4)
    S. Reinhart (6)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:45

2nd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(3)SHG
    A. Protas (3), M. Fehérváry (1)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:13
  2. WSH
    A. Mantha(3)
    C. McMichael (2)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:51

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(3)
    G. Forsling (1), O. Ekman-Larsson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:33

Overtime

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(9)
    A. Barkov (8), E. Rodrigues (7)
    snapxG 0.43win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:15

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

2nd

  • 5:01WSHTom Wilson · High stickingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:29FLAEvan Rodrigues · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 8:58FLAMike Reilly · Interferencedrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, OT 0:15 — FLA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.26A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.24D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.18D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.14C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.12C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.07R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.00R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
2.94 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
28
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
27
15
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011+310.03120—25:08
91O. Ekman-LarssonD112+210.04430—23:53
7D. KulikovD000020.16010—21:59
77N. MikkolaD000000.00130—21:53
13S. ReinhartC112+220.730004019:02
16A. BarkovC112+210.421005318:48
19M. TkachukL011-110.10020—18:41
17E. RodriguesC112+310.11102018:01
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.203005017:49
15A. LundellC011-100.000004216:51
82K. StenlundC000010.222006415:29
21N. CousinsC000-110.06300014:41
27E. LuostarinenC000-140.37120014:05
6M. ReillyD000-240.22012—13:46
28J. MahuraD000-210.10010—11:51
18S. LorentzC000010.1700010010:09
67W. LockwoodR000010.01300—07:28
94R. LombergL000000.00600—07:11
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)28253.8932.31-0.6960:15

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).