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New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NHLN, MSG·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zac Jones's goal at 9:12 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 44% to 63%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 29, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (29 saves, .935), 2. Artemi Panarin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Quick29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0125928729
OTTOTT1719015231

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:43

2nd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:24
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin (35), A. Fox (29)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:51
  3. NYR
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:33
  4. NYR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:12
  5. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:16
  6. NYR
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:54

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.38Video
    6-2
    17:17
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.25Video
    7-2
    17:52

Penalties

NYR 14 PIM·OTT 28 PIM

1st

  • 14:30NYRBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Mark Kastelic5 min
  • 14:30OTTMark Kastelic · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min
  • 17:23OTTDrake Batherson · High stickingdrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min

2nd

  • 1:15NYRMika Zibanejad · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:58OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Connor Mackey5 min
  • 4:58NYRConnor Mackey · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 8:27OTTMathieu Joseph · Embellishment2 min
  • 8:27NYRBlake Wheeler · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 18:05OTTArtem Zub · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 10:04OTTArtem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 17:17OTTJakob Chychrun · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Zac Jones, 2nd 9:12 — NYR 44% → 63%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.21T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.19S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.19J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.13C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.12J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.11C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.11T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.10R. Chartier · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Chartier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.03S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.00J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
2.86 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.96 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR53%47%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
1/1
14
Penalty minutes
28
29
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
17
8
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011+220.07100—22:50
79K. MillerD000+220.03420—22:28
4B. SchneiderD000020.01430—20:54
16V. TrocheckC011+210.171006120:12
10A. PanarinL123+220.63100—18:47
93M. ZibanejadC022+200.010124518:24
56E. GustafssonD011+320.05210—17:32
20C. KreiderL112+230.15200—17:17
14C. MackeyD000+110.01135—16:27
13A. LafrenièreL112+130.51000—16:05
21B. GoodrowC000000.004254414:56
26J. VeseyL000020.10210—14:35
6Z. JonesD112+420.16100—14:12
17B. WheelerR101+130.1110210014:08
71T. PitlickC000000.02500013:01
22J. BrodzinskiC112+220.140005612:46
24K. KakkoR101+210.4901010012:08
50W. CuylleL011+210.14000—11:29
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)31292.9352.28+0.2859:40

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).