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Rangers at Senators
NHL

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
2
Ottawa Senators
▸6
FinalTV MSG, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the New York Rangers 6-2. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 7:18 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.9 to 3.1; shots on goal were NYR 35, OTT 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 2.2 goals below expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Tkachuk (2 G), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G, 1 A), 3. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    V. Tarasenko2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01021609235
OTTOTT210315111636

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(12)
    A. Zub (4), C. Giroux (12)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:00
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(7)
    J. Bernard-Docker (3), J. Norris (6)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:34

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin(16)PPG
    A. Fox (13), M. Zibanejad (14)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:39
  2. OTT
    V. Tarasenko(4)
    D. Batherson (8), T. Stützle (19)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:13
  3. NYR
    K. Miller(5)
    A. Lafrenière (8), A. Panarin (21)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:35
  4. OTT
    D. Batherson(8)
    V. Tarasenko (12)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-4
    7:18
  5. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(13)
    A. Zub (5), E. Brannstrom (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    17:43

3rd period

  1. OTT
    V. Tarasenko(5)EN
    D. Batherson (9), E. Brannstrom (2)
    wristxG 0.73Video
    2-6
    17:10

Penalties

NYR 11 PIM·OTT 13 PIM

1st

  • 7:42NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 13:21NYRJacob Trouba · Holding the stickdrawn by Josh Norris2 min
  • 19:44OTTDominik Kubalik · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Igor Shesterkin2 min

2nd

  • 19:19OTTDrake Batherson · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 3:28OTTJosh Norris · High stickingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 4:03OTTTim Stützle · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 8:03NYRErik Gustafsson · Roughingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik2 min
  • 8:03OTTDominik Kubalik · Fightingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson5 min
  • 8:03NYRErik Gustafsson · Fightingdrawn by Dominik Kubalik5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 7:18 — OTT 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.73A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.37B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.26D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.23C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.19V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.14M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.14D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT6 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsOTT
3.12 G
All situations
5 G3.9
2.21 G
Even strength
5 G2.1
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR54%46%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
36
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
18
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD011-120.05040—26:00
10A. PanarinL112-270.99002—23:46
16V. TrocheckC000-250.551105222:58
79K. MillerD101-230.35010—19:43
55R. LindgrenD000-110.13210—19:26
93M. ZibanejadC011-110.170303618:43
8J. TroubaD000-120.04422—18:38
20C. KreiderL000-210.00000—18:27
13A. LafrenièreL011-240.37100—18:10
4B. SchneiderD000-210.02120—16:06
12N. BoninoC000-120.180106416:00
22J. BrodzinskiC000-300.001207513:41
26J. VeseyL000-130.06110—13:28
56E. GustafssonD000-210.00107—13:22
50W. CuylleL000-210.10200—12:04
17B. WheelerR000-100.0111010011:26
71T. PitlickC000010.03300010:39
21B. GoodrowC000000.0000010002:58
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)35305.8572.76-2.2458:25

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).