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Coyotes at Lightning
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV BSSUN, SCRIPPS·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Utah Mammoth 6-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 7:36 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 20, TBL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 2.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mitchell Chaffee (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Chaffee1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI171914320
TBLTBL213314110637

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    D. Raddysh(4)
    B. Hagel (27), A. Cirelli (14)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:24
  2. ARI
    C. Keller(20)
    N. Schmaltz (16), J. Brown (4)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:40
  3. TBL
    B. Point(23)
    N. Kucherov (50)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:26

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(32)
    S. Stamkos (25), V. Hedman (38)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:36
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(20)PPG
    N. Kucherov (51), B. Point (29)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:02
  3. TBL
    M. Chaffee(1)
    M. Crozier (2), E. Lilleberg (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    15:18
  4. ARI
    S. Durzi(8)
    J. McBain (9), C. Keller (25)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:59

3rd period

  1. TBL
    L. Glendening(8)
    M. Chaffee (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    7:32
  2. ARI
    L. Crouse(19)
    L. Cooley (19)
    wristxG 0.21Video
    3-6
    11:48

Penalties

ARI 26 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 19:08ARIJ.J. Moser · Fightingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont5 min
  • 19:08TBLMichael Eyssimont · Fightingdrawn by J.J. Moser5 min

2nd

  • 10:56ARIAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 19:16TBLCalvin de Haan · Trippingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min

3rd

  • 11:48ARIMichael Kesselring · Cross checkingdrawn by Maxwell Crozier2 min
  • 11:48ARIMichael Kesselring · Cross checkingdrawn by Maxwell Crozier2 min
  • 11:48TBLMaxwell Crozier · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 11:48ARILawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Maxwell Crozier5 min
  • 11:48ARIMichael Kesselring · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalARI goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 2nd 7:36 — TBL 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.22N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.22S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.22N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Point · Missed · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.14L. Glendening · Goal · xG 0.13S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.10M. Chaffee · Goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.05M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.05B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · Goal · xG 0.03E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.00M. Crozier · Missed · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 3.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsTBL
1.83 G
All situations
6 G3.2
1.73 G
Even strength
5 G1.5
0.10 G
Power play
1 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI28%72%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.79 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
37
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
1/3
26
Penalty minutes
12
38
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
15
4
Giveaways
8
13
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. VälimäkiD000000.01410—24:17
50S. DurziD101-310.11030—23:28
90J. MoserD000-100.00425—23:12
3J. BrownD011+110.04420—21:07
9C. KellerR112030.29000—19:14
15A. KerfootC000-110.162225618:20
8N. SchmaltzC011+140.39100016:49
22J. McBainC011+100.075207516:06
5M. KesselringD000020.024014—15:10
16J. ZuckerL000-120.13100—14:47
92L. CooleyC011000.001004414:44
67L. CrouseL101020.3930510014:16
53M. CarconeL000-210.1611010013:24
63M. MaccelliL000000.00000—13:17
11D. GuentherR000000.01100—12:41
17N. BjugstadC000-230.051103812:34
33T. DermottD000-100.01300—10:59
38L. O'BrienC000-200.00320010:29
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)37316.8383.17-2.8360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).