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Lightning at Coyotes
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Utah Mammoth
▸3
FinalTV BSSUN, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 15:22 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 11% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were TBL 31, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jonas Johansson stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Ingram (30 saves, .968), 2. Michael Carcone (2 G), 3. Travis Boyd (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Ingram30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    ARI
    M. Carcone2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    T. Boyd1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL08112011131
ARIARI1817112327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    M. Carcone(8)
    M. Kesselring (2), A. Kerfoot (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:21

2nd period

  1. ARI
    T. Boyd(1)
    J. Brown (1), C. Ingram (2)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:42
  2. TBL
    B. Point(12)
    N. Kucherov (22), B. Hagel (13)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    15:22

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Carcone(9)
    A. Kerfoot (7), J. Zucker (1)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:22

Penalties

TBL 9 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:15TBLTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 3:15ARIJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min

2nd

  • 2:21ARIMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min

3rd

  • 11:28ARILiam O'Brien · Trippingdrawn by Nick Perbix2 min
  • 16:10TBLSteven Stamkos · Slashingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min
  • 19:20TBLNikita Kucherov · Boardingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalTBL goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 15:22 — TBL 11% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.42L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.31M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.26J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.18M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.16L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.06T. Boyd · Goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.02M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.02M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01L. O'Brien · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI3 G · 2.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsARI
4.31 G
All situations
3 G2.8
3.51 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL76%24%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.04 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsARI
31
Shots on goal
27
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
22
Hits
18
9
Blocked shots
24
9
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000010.14000—24:37
98M. SergachevD000-130.10110—23:33
86N. KucherovR011050.79102—22:50
81E. CernakD000-120.01020—20:33
91S. StamkosC000-120.671024020:17
21B. PointC101+120.300005619:48
38B. HagelL011+141.14200—19:32
71A. CirelliC000-110.012004018:56
48N. PerbixD000000.03020—17:11
20N. PaulL000-230.280005016:54
43D. RaddyshD000-110.16020—15:43
23M. EyssimontC000-220.22100013:38
12A. Barré-BouletC000040.23100013:26
7H. FleuryD000-100.01020—13:23
84T. JeannotL000-210.20605—11:31
64T. MotteC000000.04300010:09
11L. GlendeningC000000.001007009:10
45C. KoepkeL000000.00300—07:00
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Johansson(L)27243.8892.43-0.5759:09

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).