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Sabres at Canadiens
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸6
Montréal Canadiens
1
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Montréal Canadiens 6-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jack Quinn's goal at 6:45 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 76% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.7 to 3.3; shots on goal were BUF 38, MTL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Devon Levi stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Devon Levi (32 saves, .970), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G, 3 A), 3. Tage Thompson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    D. Levi32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    T. Thompson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF013214411638
MTLMTL01516012133

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(11)PPG
    J. Skinner (13), R. Dahlin (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:33
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(16)PPG
    A. Tuch (16), T. Thompson (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:59
  3. MTL
    J. Armia(5)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:19

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(4)
    J. Peterka (14), C. Clifton (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:45
  2. BUF
    T. Thompson(11)
    J. Skinner (14), A. Tuch (17)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:35
  3. BUF
    R. Dahlin(11)EN
    M. Samuelsson (5), C. Mittelstadt (22)
    wristxG 0.55Video
    5-1
    14:31
  4. BUF
    T. Thompson(12)
    J. Skinner (15), J. Quinn (1)
    wristxG 0.10Video
    6-1
    18:32

Penalties

BUF 10 PIM·MTL 12 PIM

1st

  • 13:16MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min
  • 15:19BUFserved by V. Olofsson · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:00MTLDavid Savard · Slashingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 6:14MTLMitchell Stephens · Interferencedrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 12:14MTLMichael Pezzetta · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Samuelsson2 min
  • 17:59BUFDylan Cozens · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

3rd

  • 13:19BUFDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 13:19MTLDavid Savard · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 13:19MTLMike Matheson · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 13:19BUFDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 14:43BUFZach Benson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Jack Quinn, 3rd 6:45 — BUF 76% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.34J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.20J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.19S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.16S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.13J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.12B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.09J. Ylonen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.08J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.08M. Pezzetta · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.06J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.02J. Barron · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.02J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
3.75 G
All situations
1 G3.3
2.53 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF49%51%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 3.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
38
Shots on goal
33
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/4
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
12
31
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23M. SamuelssonD011+250.08500—21:32
26R. DahlinD112040.67220—21:17
75C. CliftonD011+210.03430—19:32
12J. GreenwayL000+110.113105018:39
6E. JohnsonD000000.00510—17:54
37C. MittelstadtC112+120.281105717:46
25O. PowerD000+210.02010—17:38
72T. ThompsonC213+140.431104017:28
9Z. BensonL000020.191125017:09
10H. JokiharjuD000+120.18130—17:07
89A. TuchR022+110.18100—16:23
53J. SkinnerL134+140.220002515:57
24D. CozensC000+120.312261014:40
22J. QuinnR112+230.22010—13:26
71V. OlofssonL000010.24000—12:16
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.0930010011:58
19P. KrebsC000010.112008811:52
77J. PeterkaR011030.38000—11:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
27D. Levi(W)33321.9703.33+2.3360:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).