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Canadiens at Sabres
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV NHLN, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Gallagher's goal at 3:31 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals were close — MTL 3.2, BUF 3.4; shots on goal were MTL 27, BUF 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Eric Comrie stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (36 saves, .973), 2. Brendan Gallagher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jeff Skinner (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Allen36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    MTL
    B. Gallagher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Skinner1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1409214327
BUFBUF17017013137

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Barron(1)
    A. Xhekaj (2), S. Monahan (3)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:56
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(3)PPG
    D. Cozens (3), R. Dahlin (6)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:13

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Gallagher(2)
    D. Savard (2), T. Pearson (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:31
  2. MTL
    T. Pearson(3)PPG
    B. Gallagher (1), A. Newhook (1)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:53

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:05MTLBrendan Gallagher · Trippingdrawn by Erik Johnson2 min
  • 14:51BUFPeyton Krebs · Boardingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min
  • 17:06MTLserved by M. Pezzetta · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:42MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 14:47BUFKyle Okposo · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 19:04MTLJustin Barron · Cross checkingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

3rd

  • 10:16MTLSean Monahan · Trippingdrawn by Connor Clifton2 min
  • 14:57BUFAlex Tuch · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalMTL goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Brendan Gallagher, 3rd 3:31 — MTL 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.25J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.18J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.15T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.13A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12P. Krebs · Missed · xG 0.12T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.11O. Power · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.10C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.08D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.08A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.07T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.04P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.02V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01T. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Power · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.00T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 3.4 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsBUF
3.23 G
All situations
1 G3.4
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
1.01 G
Power play
1 G1.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL47%53%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 3.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsBUF
27
Shots on goal
37
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+110.03210—24:06
26J. KovacevicD000000.06100—20:24
14N. SuzukiC000030.132003019:03
72A. XhekajD011+120.06412—18:48
91S. MonahanC011+210.230027018:38
54J. HarrisD000000.00010—18:33
22C. CaufieldR000010.3900010017:34
58D. SavardD011+110.16050—16:54
52J. BarronD101+110.22022—15:49
49R. Harvey-PinardL000020.34220—15:38
71J. EvansC000000.062006415:29
17J. AndersonR000020.36510—15:10
15A. NewhookC011000.001102514:46
20J. SlafkovskýL000020.16320—14:36
70T. PearsonL112+260.48410—13:24
56J. YlonenR000010.0100010012:50
11B. GallagherR112+220.17302—11:14
55M. PezzettaL000020.34500—08:56
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)37361.9733.38+2.3860:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).