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Flames at Wild
NHL

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸3
Minnesota Wild
1
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Maroon's goal at 9:28 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 17% to 34%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.9 to 2.5; shots on goal were CGY 33, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (28 saves, .966), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (30 saves, .938), 3. Chris Tanev.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    C. Tanev

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY213010110333
MINMIN0715017129

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(7)
    R. Andersson (14), M. Weegar (13)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:40
  2. CGY
    J. Huberdeau(5)
    E. Lindholm (16), Y. Sharangovich (12)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:36

2nd period

  1. MIN
    P. Maroon(4)
    N. Petan (2), M. Rossi (12)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:28

3rd period

  1. CGY
    B. Coleman(14)EN
    M. Backlund (11), M. Weegar (14)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:03

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:32CGYserved by C. Zary · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:00MINMatt Boldy · Slashingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 11:00CGYNazem Kadri · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

2nd

  • 18:23MINFrederick Gaudreau · Interferencedrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

3rd

  • 2:31CGYNazem Kadri · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 6:28CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCGY goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Patrick Maroon, 2nd 9:28 — MIN 17% → 34%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · Goal · xG 0.30J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.27J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.15M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.14R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.13S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.13M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Lucchini · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.08N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.06N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN1 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMIN
2.52 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.62 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY32%68%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
26
24
Blocked shots
11
7
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD000010.04030—24:00
4R. AnderssonD011+200.00040—23:32
8C. TanevD000000.00050—23:12
52M. WeegarD022+230.02340—22:33
28E. LindholmC011+140.302105821:15
11M. BacklundC011+120.182007319:41
17Y. SharangovichC011+150.31000019:37
20B. ColemanL101020.773125017:13
91N. KadriC000020.081244616:18
10J. HuberdeauL101+120.1901010016:12
88A. MangiapaneL101+110.25110—14:29
47C. ZaryC000000.00000013:21
82J. OesterleD000020.05110—12:36
48D. GilbertD000000.00210—12:18
18A. GreerL000070.26200—10:42
76M. PospisilC000000.03300008:59
29D. DubeC000020.06000008:24
63A. RuzickaC000000.0000010008:12
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)29281.9662.86+1.8659:26

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).