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Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 0:45 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 29, CGY 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Dustin Wolf stopped 11 of 13 (.846). Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11331214529
CGYCGY05110115230

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:26

2nd period

  1. MIN
    batxG 0.68win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:45
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    1:30
  3. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:51
  4. MIN
    M. Boldy(5)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:58

3rd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    1:37
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    6:49

Penalties

MIN 13 PIM·CGY 13 PIM

1st

  • 16:20MINBrock Faber · Slashingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 16:51CGYYegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 2:25CGYA.J. Greer · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 2:25MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by A.J. Greer5 min
  • 7:18CGYBlake Coleman · Cross checkingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 12:41CGYRasmus Andersson · Slashingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 15:34MINJake Middleton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:09MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 9:34MINMarco Rossi · Interferencedrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 9:34CGYConnor Zary · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMIN goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 0:45 — MIN 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.35W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.14Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.13A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.12A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.12C. Zary · Goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.10R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.10I. Solovyov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ruzicka · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.00N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 2.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCGY
3.35 G
All situations
2 G2.4
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN66%34%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCGY
29
Shots on goal
30
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
16
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-120.03042—25:42
46J. SpurgeonD011+300.00170—24:14
25J. BrodinD000-120.17010—23:31
97K. KaprizovL112+151.29010—21:37
5J. MiddletonD000+310.06212—20:18
36M. ZuccarelloR011+120.051005019:11
23M. RossiC011+110.150123817:45
14J. Eriksson EkC101+250.311003916:46
12M. BoldyL213+330.480103314:40
26C. DewarC000-120.110004313:37
90M. JohanssonL011+200.00102—13:05
21B. DuhaimeL000-110.21310—12:53
38R. HartmanR000-100.110105012:43
4J. MerrillD000000.00000—12:42
89F. GaudreauC000020.090004412:00
17M. FolignoL101020.07505—11:16
20P. MaroonL000-110.19210—10:05
33A. GoligoskiD000000.00000—09:55
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)30282.9332.40+0.4060:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).