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Canadiens at Lightning
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
FinalTV BSSUN, TSN2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-3. The Lightning came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Calvin de Haan's goal at 7:49 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 29, TBL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 1.7 goals below expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Calvin de Haan (1 G), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jonas Johansson (26 saves, .897).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    C. de Haan1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Johansson26 saves, .897

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0921317329
TBLTBL042729420

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(10)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:58
  2. MTL
    J. Kovacevic(5)
    S. Montembeault (1)
    wristxG 0.00win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:59
  3. TBL
    B. Point(17)
    N. Paul (10), B. Hagel (20)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:01
  4. TBL
    A. Watson(2)
    V. Hedman (30), N. Perbix (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:36

3rd period

  1. TBL
    C. de Haan(1)
    N. Kucherov (35), S. Stamkos (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:49
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(26)
    V. Hedman (31), A. Cirelli (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:54
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(11)
    J. Slafkovský (9), M. Matheson (21)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:55

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·TBL 19 PIM

1st

  • 15:50MTLMike Matheson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 1:32MTLNick Suzuki · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 4:07MTLJosh Anderson · Chargingdrawn by Erik Cernak2 min
  • 4:07TBLLuke Glendening · Instigatordrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 4:07MTLJosh Anderson · Fightingdrawn by Luke Glendening5 min
  • 4:07TBLLuke Glendening · Fightingdrawn by Josh Anderson5 min
  • 4:07TBLLuke Glendening · Instigator misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 10:21MTLDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 12:03TBLTanner Jeannot · Interferencedrawn by Jake Evans2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalMTL goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Calvin de Haan, 3rd 7:49 — TBL 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.28S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.27B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.23N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.16V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.16B. Point · Goal · xG 0.15B. Point · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.09V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.09C. de Haan · Goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.06C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.3 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsTBL
3.03 G
All situations
4 G2.3
2.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL61%39%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsTBL
29
Shots on goal
20
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/1
Power play
0/3
13
Penalty minutes
19
30
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011010.04322—25:27
14N. SuzukiC101010.275026323:33
22C. CaufieldR101040.6301010023:11
58D. SavardD000-330.10032—22:10
20J. SlafkovskýL011010.14200—20:42
91S. MonahanC000+120.180106720:07
71J. EvansC000010.272106018:07
17J. AndersonR000-130.643076716:42
47J. StrubleD000000.01210—16:37
21K. GuhleD000-110.04320—15:42
11B. GallagherR000020.37220—15:39
54J. HarrisD000+110.03000—14:35
40J. ArmiaR000030.04000—13:02
56J. YlonenR000000.00230—12:08
26J. KovacevicD101+110.00100—11:23
52J. BarronD000030.13200—11:04
13M. StephensC000-120.071007110:33
55M. PezzettaL000-100.0021010004:54
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)20164.8002.34-1.6658:24

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).