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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
Montréal Canadiens
3
FinalTV BSSUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 5-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Paul's goal at 7:15 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 59% to 74%. Expected goals were close — TBL 3.2, MTL 3.0; shots on goal were TBL 32, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Tomkins stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Samuel Montembeault stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Barré-Boulet (1 G), 3. Samuel Montembeault (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Barré-Boulet1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL4908115532
MTLMTL0508313326

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(10)
    B. Hagel (6), B. Point (11)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:22
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(6)
    S. Stamkos (9), V. Hedman (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:15
  3. TBL
    A. Barré-Boulet(4)PPG
    B. Hagel (7), M. Sergachev (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:09
  4. TBL
    M. Eyssimont(4)
    V. Hedman (13), E. Cernak (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-0
    13:50

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(4)PPG
    C. Caufield (8), S. Monahan (5)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:50
  2. MTL
    M. Pezzetta(1)
    J. Evans (1), K. Guhle (4)
    slapxG 0.33win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    7:24
  3. TBL
    N. Paul(7)PPG
    N. Kucherov (12), S. Stamkos (10)
    wristxG 0.39Video
    5-2
    17:40
  4. MTL
    C. Dvorak(1)
    J. Harris (2), J. Barron (1)
    snapxG 0.03Video
    5-3
    19:41

Penalties

TBL 21 PIM·MTL 19 PIM

1st

  • 2:57TBLLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 8:08MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 16:27TBLMichael Eyssimont · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 18:37MTLKaiden Guhle · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

2nd

  • 4:30TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 8:45TBLAlex Barré-Boulet · Hookingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 13:22MTLCole Caufield · Trippingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 13:22TBLTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj5 min
  • 13:22MTLArber Xhekaj · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min

3rd

  • 1:02TBLAnthony Cirelli · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 1:02MTLAlex Newhook · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 3:13TBLLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 5:14TBLBrandon Hagel · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 8:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 8:00MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 8:00TBLTanner Jeannot · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 16:51MTLJake Evans · Holdingdrawn by Darren Raddysh2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Paul, 1st 7:15 — TBL 59% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pezzetta · Goal · xG 0.33T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.28T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.18J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.15J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.15B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.12J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.11N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.09J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.05J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.04C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.03J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
3.25 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.72 G
Power play
1 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL55%45%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
32
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
2/5
Power play
1/6
21
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
24
17
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-110.10142—24:29
77V. HedmanD022+310.02010—24:04
86N. KucherovR112+160.40000—21:50
20N. PaulL202040.940202919:32
81E. CernakD011+100.00200—19:27
43D. RaddyshD000-100.00000—18:52
21B. PointC011030.400005018:04
71A. CirelliC000+110.100225317:40
91S. StamkosC022050.5321010017:37
38B. HagelL022+110.01012—16:28
64T. MotteC000010.00140015:44
44C. de HaanD000000.00110—14:27
11L. GlendeningC000000.001145713:35
12A. Barré-BouletC101-120.29002011:32
24Z. BogosianD000030.05000—11:32
23M. EyssimontC101+130.28402011:25
84T. JeannotL000010.09507—09:31
73C. ShearyL000000.00000—00:35
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90M. Tomkins(W)26233.8852.99-0.0160:00

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).