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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
FinalTV ALT2, SNW·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 13:56 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were COL 32, WPG 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Ivan Prosvetov stopped 19 of 24 (.792), 2.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G), 2. Alex Iafallo (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi2 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Iafallo1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0607219232
WPGWPG2619310625

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(3)
    M. Scheifele (21), J. Morrissey (20)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    13:56
  2. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(3)PPG
    A. Iafallo (10), N. Pionk (9)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:38

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(5)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:43

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (24), N. MacKinnon (30)
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:07
  2. WPG
    G. Vilardi(4)
    N. Ehlers (12), J. Morrissey (21)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    3:40
  3. WPG
    N. Niederreiter(8)
    V. Namestnikov (11), M. Appleton (10)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    8:48
  4. COL
    J. Johnson(2)
    V. Nichushkin (14), N. MacKinnon (31)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    10:41
  5. WPG
    N. Ehlers(10)EN
    M. Scheifele (22)
    wristxG 0.94Video
    2-6
    17:57

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·WPG 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:25COLJosh Manson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:05WPGNeal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min

2nd

  • 0:08COLDevon Toews · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 0:42WPGJosh Morrissey · High stickingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 4:46WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 13:25WPGAdam Lowry · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 1st 13:56 — WPG 54% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.94G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.40N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.19V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.16C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.10N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.10M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.09J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.08M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.05M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.04A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.01V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 3.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
2.52 G
All situations
5 G3.3
0.91 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
1.61 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
25
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
13
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
13V. NichushkinR011050.85200—27:21
96M. RantanenR011020.274006325:42
29N. MacKinnonC022-140.311105325:38
7D. ToewsD000020.07112—24:49
4B. ByramD000-220.03210—20:57
70S. MalinskiD000-310.02120—20:25
42J. MansonD000-210.01332—19:27
27J. DrouinL101-140.65000—18:27
3J. JohnsonD101020.08140—16:00
12R. JohansenC000000.002008015:08
25L. O'ConnorR000-110.015005012:36
59B. MeyersC000-100.00400012:20
28M. WoodL000-220.07110—12:01
82C. JonesD000-120.06120—11:05
11A. CoglianoC000-220.03000010:44
20R. ColtonC000-210.011008010:09
22F. OlofssonL000-210.030107509:43
94J. KivirantaL000-100.00210—07:59
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50I. Prosvetov(L)24195.7922.39-2.6156:16

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).