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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV ALT, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 15:13 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 28, COL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (32 saves, .941), 3. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1921316428
COLCOL0921609234

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(5)
    A. Jonsson-Fjallby (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:57

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(16)
    N. Ehlers (8), J. Morrissey (17)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:32
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(10)
    D. Toews (10), S. Malinski (1)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:30
  3. WPG
    J. Morrissey(5)
    D. Samberg (7), N. Niederreiter (9)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    15:13
  4. COL
    J. Kiviranta(2)
    N. MacKinnon (26), B. Byram (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:29

3rd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(17)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:23

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:37WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 4:08COLFredrik Olofsson · Holdingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 10:54WPGBrenden Dillon · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 1:17WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 2:31WPGDylan Samberg · High stickingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 2nd 15:13 — WPG 69% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.17L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.16L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kiviranta · Goal · xG 0.13M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.09F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.09R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.08T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.04B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.00J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG40%60%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
14
Hits
12
12
Blocked shots
15
0
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000+320.01020—24:39
44J. MorrisseyD112+420.07102—24:22
4N. PionkD000-130.03110—22:10
5B. DillonD000-100.00222—20:30
81K. ConnorL202+241.35000—20:10
55M. ScheifeleC000+220.170005317:54
22M. AppletonC000010.0200010016:32
27N. EhlersL011+210.07002—15:48
17A. LowryC101+120.222004715:01
54D. SambergD011000.01212—14:52
64L. StanleyD000-100.00210—14:14
62N. NiederreiterR011+220.08100—14:02
19D. GustafssonC000-120.192106013:03
13G. VilardiC000010.071005012:39
91C. PerfettiC000030.18010012:39
36M. BarronC000-110.33010012:13
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL011000.00010—11:11
9A. IafalloL000-120.02010—10:01
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)34322.9412.48+0.4860:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).