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Wild at Oilers
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
3
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor Dewar's goal at 11:58 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 20, EDM 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Stuart Skinner stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evan Bouchard (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (4 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins4 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN043709320
EDMEDM11821418440

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(6)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (15), Z. Hyman (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:16

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(6)
    B. Faber (10), M. Johansson (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:15
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(13)
    M. Boldy (9), M. Johansson (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:41
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(9)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (16), E. Bouchard (20)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:21
  4. MIN
    C. Dewar(6)
    R. Hartman (5), B. Faber (11)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:58
  5. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(11)PPG
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (17), C. McDavid (25)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:30

3rd period

  1. EDM
    E. Bouchard(7)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (20), R. Nugent-Hopkins (18)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:32

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:36EDMDarnell Nurse · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 16:33MINJon Merrill · Holdingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min

2nd

  • 17:35MINMats Zuccarello · Holding the stickdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

3rd

  • 0:41MINRyan Hartman · Roughingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 3:53EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 13:33MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 20:00MINRyan Hartman · Cross checkingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 20:00EDMMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalMIN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor Dewar, 2nd 11:58 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.41L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.29R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.25W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.22L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.15W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.15M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13J. Hamblin · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.10E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.09M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsEDM
2.43 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN22%78%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 4.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsEDM
20
Shots on goal
40
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
12
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000020.10050—28:33
7B. FaberD022+200.09200—24:25
5J. MiddletonD000-200.01550—22:04
97K. KaprizovL000-120.22100—21:53
36M. ZuccarelloR000-100.07002—19:06
38R. HartmanR011+130.342044518:51
14J. Eriksson EkC101+140.353105318:15
12M. BoldyL112+120.191025016:10
25J. BrodinD000+100.00010—15:41
90M. JohanssonL022+100.13000—15:29
23M. RossiC000-110.070006014:04
89F. GaudreauC000030.381004313:31
26C. DewarC101+110.181105013:14
6D. MermisD000+100.01010—12:37
17M. FolignoL000000.00300—11:57
4J. MerrillD000000.00202—10:36
20P. MaroonL000000.13220—09:55
21B. DuhaimeL000+120.11100—09:40
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)40364.9004.24+0.2458:13

Season series

MIN leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).