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Avalanche at Wild
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Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kurtis MacDermid's goal at 4:56 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were COL 25, MIN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Kurtis MacDermid (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    K. MacDermid1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL191917325
MINMIN062708221

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(7)
    B. Byram (3), R. Tufte (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:43

2nd period

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(9)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (18), D. Toews (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:39
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(6)
    M. Rossi (5)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:13
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(9)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (15), K. Kaprizov (11)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:21

3rd period

  1. COL
    K. MacDermid(1)
    A. Cogliano (4), F. Olofsson (1)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:56

Penalties

COL 12 PIM·MIN 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:08COLJonathan Drouin · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 12:46MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

2nd

  • 1:03COLRoss Colton · High sticking double minordrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek4 min
  • 2:38MINMarcus Johansson · Hookingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 3:45MINMarcus Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 7:31MINJake Middleton · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 12:17COLCaleb Jones · Holdingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 13:22COLBowen Byram · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:04MINBrock Faber · Trippingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 12:24MINJoel Eriksson Ek · High stickingdrawn by Caleb Jones2 min
  • 15:42COLBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 17:38MINMatt Boldy · Interferencedrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCOL goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Kurtis MacDermid, 3rd 4:56 — COL 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.25J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.13M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.10B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMIN
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.42 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
1.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL62%38%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
21
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/6
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
14
13
Hits
11
9
Blocked shots
18
5
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000+120.28020—28:48
13V. NichushkinR101050.41010—27:21
7D. ToewsD011-110.13210—24:49
96M. RantanenR000020.350106424:22
29N. MacKinnonC011030.320006424:05
4B. ByramD011000.00004—20:35
27J. DrouinL000010.18012—17:30
42J. MansonD000+110.09100—15:41
12R. JohansenC000000.052005013:45
3J. JohnsonD000+110.03100—13:39
94J. KivirantaL000+130.38110—13:23
10R. TufteL011000.16310—10:46
11A. CoglianoC011+100.00000010:34
20R. ColtonC101030.271045010:27
22F. OlofssonL011+110.011105710:26
82C. JonesD000000.00002—09:42
28M. WoodL000-110.10000—09:38
56K. MacDermidL101+110.11100—03:30
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)21192.9052.25+0.2560:00

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).