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St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames

FinalTV BSMW, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Leddy's goal at 13:24 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 35, CGY 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Markstrom (32 saves, .941), 2. Joel Hofer (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Robert Thomas (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL210010115335
CGYCGY01004013027

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:23
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:24

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.45win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:53

Penalties

STL 13 PIM·CGY 17 PIM

1st

  • 10:11STLJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min
  • 12:14CGYA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 12:14STLRobert Bortuzzo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 12:14CGYA.J. Greer · Fightingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo5 min
  • 12:14STLRobert Bortuzzo · Fightingdrawn by A.J. Greer5 min

2nd

  • 2:30CGYYegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Scott Perunovich2 min
  • 8:12CGYIlya Solovyov · Cross checkingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 16:16STLserved by S. Blais · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:36CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 8:23CGYDennis Gilbert · Roughingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 8:23STLTorey Krug · Roughingdrawn by Dennis Gilbert2 min
  • 12:24CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSTL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Leddy, 1st 13:24 — STL 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.42E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.17M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.16D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.15W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.13W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.12B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.11D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dube · Missed · xG 0.02M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.02I. Solovyov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01D. Gilbert · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gilbert · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01
CGY0 G · 2.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCGY
3.72 G
All situations
0 G2.4
2.01 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL64%36%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCGY
35
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
0/2
13
Penalty minutes
17
19
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
11
13
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000+220.03020—24:12
72J. FaulkD000020.29342—22:34
18R. ThomasC011+161.000105221:41
47T. KrugD000+110.03102—21:35
10B. SchennC000020.094003819:06
25J. KyrouR000030.3800010018:56
89P. BuchnevichL000040.19000—18:42
42K. KapanenR101+120.23000—18:20
4N. LeddyD101+220.14120—18:08
20B. SaadL000+100.00100—16:58
12K. HayesR011+110.320005815:38
70O. SundqvistC112+240.640001712:52
63J. NeighboursL000+110.10300—12:29
13A. ToropchenkoR011+110.08300—11:39
79S. BlaisL000010.02300—11:26
6M. ScandellaD000030.12010—11:04
48S. PerunovichD000000.00000—09:44
41R. BortuzzoD000+100.00017—09:00
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)272701.0002.37+2.3759:56

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).