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Maple Leafs at Capitals
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 5:41 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were TOR 17, WSH 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (37 saves, .974), 2. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR153903417
WSHWSH01711308138

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    M. Rielly(1)PPG
    T. Liljegren (1), M. Domi (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:53

2nd period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(3)
    M. Rielly (4), T. Bertuzzi (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:41
  2. TOR
    W. Nylander(5)
    A. Matthews (1)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    6:29
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(7)PPG
    M. Marner (4), J. Klingberg (5)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    15:07
  4. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(1)PPG
    J. Carlson (3), T. Wilson (2)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:49

Penalties

TOR 6 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:24TORDavid Kampf · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 5:58WSHNicklas Backstrom · Hookingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 10:57WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:23TORPontus Holmberg · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

2nd

  • 2:45TORMark Giordano · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Alex Ovechkin0 min
  • 14:10WSHTom Wilson · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 18:16TORTJ Brodie · Trippingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalTOR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, 2nd 5:41 — TOR 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.37E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.23N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.20A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.17C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.11E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.00T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 3.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsWSH
1.74 G
All situations
1 G3.8
1.02 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR18%82%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsWSH
17
Shots on goal
38
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
14
11
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD000+100.00032—22:18
44M. RiellyD112+110.08010—21:35
22J. McCabeD000+100.00230—19:20
37T. LiljegrenD011000.00110—19:13
3J. KlingbergD011000.00000—18:52
34A. MatthewsC112+110.220004618:51
16M. MarnerR011+110.19100—18:01
88W. NylanderR101+240.57110—17:41
91J. TavaresC101+130.062007116:43
55M. GiordanoD000+110.02130—16:04
23M. KniesL000000.10010—15:05
59T. BertuzziL011+120.23100—15:02
64D. KampfC000000.002024514:11
19C. JarnkrokC000000.00000013:54
11M. DomiC011020.14000013:12
29P. HolmbergR000000.000024012:01
18N. GregorL000020.04000—11:55
75R. ReavesR000000.00300—10:56
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)38371.9743.78+2.7859:33

Season series

TOR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).