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Jets at Flames
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Winnipeg Jets 5-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 18:28 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.3 to 3.6; shots on goal were WPG 37, CGY 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.1 goals below expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Mangiapane (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (34 saves, .919).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Mangiapane2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    J. Markstrom34 saves, .919

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11511418337
CGYCGY281628522

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(1)PPG
    A. Ruzicka (1), N. Hanifin (1)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:29
  2. WPG
    K. Connor(1)
    D. Samberg (1), N. Pionk (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:48
  3. CGY
    M. Weegar(1)
    N. Zadorov (1), W. Duehr (1)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(1)
    D. DeMelo (1), A. Lowry (1)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:19
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(1)SHG
    E. Lindholm (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:49

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(1)
    J. Morrissey (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +36 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:18
  2. CGY
    E. Lindholm(1)
    A. Mangiapane (1), J. Huberdeau (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +42 ptsVideo
    3-4
    18:28
  3. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(2)EN
    J. Huberdeau (2), E. Lindholm (2)
    wristxG 0.86win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:53

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:20CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Morgan Barron2 min
  • 8:53WPGDylan Samberg · Interferencedrawn by Matt Coronato2 min
  • 11:03WPGJosh Morrissey · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:50CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 6:19WPGCole Perfetti · Hookingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min
  • 12:35CGYDillon Dube · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
  • 18:18CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Hookingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalWPG goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 3rd 18:28 — CGY 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.86J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.84A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.21M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.19M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.14E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.13A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.13M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.10E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ruzicka · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.06J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dube · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 3.6 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCGY
4.33 G
All situations
4 G3.6
2.43 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
1.90 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG84%16%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.24 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCGY
37
Shots on goal
22
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
25
5
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011+110.11112—26:06
2D. DeMeloD011+310.00210—22:13
81K. ConnorL101050.55000—22:00
13G. VilardiC000070.73110021:04
4N. PionkD011-110.13110—20:38
55M. ScheifeleC101030.541004820:09
27N. EhlersL000-230.13010—17:08
88N. SchmidtD000-220.35110—16:29
5B. DillonD000-200.01430—15:45
62N. NiederreiterR000030.48320—15:16
91C. PerfettiC000020.343022714:52
54D. SambergD011000.00102—14:38
9A. IafalloL101040.43210—14:28
17A. LowryC011+110.083004012:55
22M. AppletonC000+120.07100012:32
15R. KupariC000-210.150203811:17
7V. NamestnikovC000-210.22100009:57
36M. BarronC000-100.00100008:55
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)21174.8101.91-2.0958:12

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).