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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers

FinalRogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 6-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 11:49 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.1 to 2.2; shots on goal were LAK 28, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 1.4 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Darnell Nurse (2 A), 2. Nick Bjugstad (2 G), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    D. Nurse2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    N. Bjugstad2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK2120719328
EDMEDM3132816627

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    E. Kane(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    8:08
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:40
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.37win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    13:12
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    14:12
  5. LAK
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    17:35

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. Ceci (1), D. Nurse (3)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    11:49
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(2)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    15:47

3rd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    4:26
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.17win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    6:33

Penalties

LAK 16 PIM·EDM 12 PIM

1st

  • 6:12LAKCarl Grundstrom · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 13:56LAKKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Stuart Skinner2 min

3rd

  • 0:29EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 14:36LAKSean Durzi · Cross checkingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 18:13LAKPhillip Danault · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:13EDMWarren Foegele · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalLAK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 2nd 11:49 — EDM 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.30R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.24R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.19B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.18C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.16N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.11L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.11E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.07K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.06L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 3.1 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsEDM
2.23 G
All situations
6 G3.1
2.03 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.00 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK34%66%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
2/3
16
Penalty minutes
12
43
Hits
48
8
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-100.00430—25:24
44M. AndersonD000-100.00210—23:52
84V. GavrikovD000+120.03100—18:22
3M. RoyD000+110.02110—18:07
24P. DanaultC000-120.1230105017:00
12T. MooreL000-110.29300—16:59
26S. WalkerD000-100.01210—16:31
13G. VilardiC011-120.131005616:08
11A. KopitarC011+110.044005016:03
33V. ArvidssonL000-110.08000—15:59
50S. DurziD000-130.16112—15:57
19A. IafalloL101+130.51300—14:51
9A. KempeR112+140.28610—14:45
22K. FialaL011-100.00302—14:29
91C. GrundstromR011020.01202—12:55
55Q. ByfieldR101-110.171004012:47
28J. Anderson-DolanC000050.314005012:30
89R. KupariC000000.002002511:34
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)19154.7892.58-1.4231:49
29P. Copley862.7500.50-1.5028:11

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).