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Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings

Final/OTCrypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-4 in overtime, Zach Hyman scoring at 10:39. The Oilers came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 10:39 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.8, LAK 3.7; shots on goal were EDM 42, LAK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 3. Phillip Danault (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    P. Danault2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM093201716542
LAKLAK3110811703439

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:25
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:48
  3. LAK
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    18:11

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    4:55
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:41
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    3-3
    19:49

3rd period

  1. LAK
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +26 pts
    3-4
    4:28
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +40 pts
    4-4
    16:58

Overtime

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.05win prob +52 pts
    5-4
    10:39

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 17:16EDMCody Ceci · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

2nd

  • 3:13LAKAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 19:03LAKKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 5:55EDMZach Hyman · Slashingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

OT

  • 6:26LAKAdrian Kempe · Cross checkingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalEDM goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, OT 10:39 — EDM 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.22V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.18G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.17M. Roy · Goal · xG 0.16V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.15P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.15Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.15K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.14A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.13T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.13V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.13M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.12T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.10Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.09P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.06G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.04V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01A. Edler · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.7 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsLAK
3.85 G
All situations
4 G3.7
3.03 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.72 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM52%48%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 3.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsLAK
42
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
40
21
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC033+320.131004030:22
2E. BouchardD123+340.29030—28:25
29L. DraisaitlC213+250.962205528:09
14M. EkholmD011+200.05110—25:06
18Z. HymanL112+150.31312—24:59
25D. NurseD000-120.18120—24:43
91E. KaneL101050.434005024:32
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-200.070104022:41
5C. CeciD000030.11232—22:24
27B. KulakD000-120.08240—19:06
56K. YamamotoR000-220.27130—18:54
37W. FoegeleL000-150.42510—15:49
71R. McLeodC000-120.080004415:15
72N. BjugstadC000010.083005015:14
10D. RyanC000030.21000013:58
86P. BrobergD000-100.04000—09:49
73V. DesharnaisD000-200.00000—07:16
21K. KostinC000010.07200003:38
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)28271.9642.45+1.4550:39
74S. Skinner1183.7271.28-1.7220:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).