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Golden Knights at Jets
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Winnipeg Jets
2
FinalCanada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2. The Jets scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 13:32 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were VGK 30, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Shea Theodore (2 A), 2. Neal Pionk (2 A), 3. Blake Wheeler (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    S. Theodore2 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK11021119430
WPGWPG1808110226

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(2)PPG
    N. Pionk (6), N. Niederreiter (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    5:53
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(1)
    C. Stephenson (3)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:53

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(3)
    J. Marchessault (2), S. Theodore (2)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    13:32
  2. VGK
    I. Barbashev(1)
    S. Theodore (3), C. Stephenson (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    14:19

3rd period

  1. WPG
    P. Dubois(2)PPG
    B. Wheeler (3), N. Pionk (7)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    2:57
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(2)EN
    M. Stone (3)
    wristxG 0.54win prob +3 pts
    4-2
    19:43

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:52VGKAlec Martinez · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 0:57WPGDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 11:30WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

3rd

  • 2:47VGKMichael Amadio · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 8:20WPGDylan DeMelo · Roughingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 8:20VGKMichael Amadio · Roughingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalVGK goalFinal: WPG 0%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, 2nd 13:32 — VGK 48% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.20M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.16P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.11N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.11K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 2.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsWPG
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK47%53%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
26
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
2/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
39
23
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
9
12
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000030.05310—24:31
27S. TheodoreD022+320.15110—21:27
9J. EichelC000040.141203821:18
3B. McNabbD000+210.04320—20:24
61M. StoneR011+330.14110—19:51
20C. StephensonC022+310.032104219:43
23A. MartinezD000+120.04022—19:07
81J. MarchessaultR011+110.15100—16:23
21B. HowdenC202+230.793205016:18
19R. SmithR000030.30210—15:57
2Z. WhitecloudD000+120.02220—15:49
14N. HagueD000000.01220—14:38
22M. AmadioR000010.11024—13:28
71W. KarlssonC101+110.190004313:14
49I. BarbashevL101+110.12010—12:15
10N. RoyC000+120.090005011:58
55K. KolesarR000000.00210—10:46
8P. KesselR000+100.16020—09:42
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(W)26242.9232.16+0.1660:00

Series

VGK leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).