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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalT-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Wheeler's goal at 3:53 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 74% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 31, VGK 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G, 1 A), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G), 3. William Karlsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG01427310531
VGKVGK081702117

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    1:24
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:26
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:49

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    3:53
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.91
    4-1
    18:39
  3. WPG
    A. Lowry(2)PPG
    snapxG 0.17
    5-1
    19:41

Penalties

WPG 16 PIM·VGK 16 PIM

1st

  • 13:27VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 15:23VGKZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min

2nd

  • 4:18WPGSaku Maenalanen · Slashingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 17:00WPGMark Scheifele · Cross checkingdrawn by Phil Kessel2 min

3rd

  • 14:45WPGserved by V. Namestnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:00VGKKeegan Kolesar · Boardingdrawn by David Gustafsson2 min
  • 19:00WPGSaku Maenalanen · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:00VGKNicolas Hague · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Blake Wheeler, 3rd 3:53 — WPG 74% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.15M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.09R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.07W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
3.54 G
All situations
1 G1.7
2.03 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG67%33%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
17
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/3
16
Penalty minutes
16
51
Hits
65
17
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
9
11
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD000+210.02230—23:55
44J. MorrisseyD011+100.03230—23:51
4N. PionkD011010.01110—20:22
17A. LowryC202+131.095104219:45
22M. AppletonC000020.14100019:35
5B. DillonD000000.00820—18:38
81K. ConnorL101+250.62230—18:23
80P. DuboisC112+330.478106218:22
55M. ScheifeleC000+140.303025017:37
88N. SchmidtD011+130.11000—16:02
54D. SambergD000+210.01110—15:22
7V. NamestnikovC011000.00210014:18
62N. NiederreiterR022010.15400—14:16
26B. WheelerR123+230.271006712:27
28K. StenlundC000010.010104211:46
36M. BarronC000030.28500010:44
19D. GustafssonC000000.00200009:38
8S. MaenalanenR000000.004012—09:08
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)17161.9411.71+0.7160:00

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).