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Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Johansson's goal at 16:47 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 89%. Expected goals were close — MIN 2.1, CHI 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 22, CHI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 40 of 42 (.952); Alex Stalock stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marcus Johansson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Filip Gustavsson (40 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Johansson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson40 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN180539422
CHICHI11112209242

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    12:32
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.23win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:11

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:23

3rd period

  1. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    14:00
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +41 pts
    3-2
    16:47
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:59

Penalties

MIN 21 PIM·CHI 9 PIM

3rd

  • 3:38CHIAnders Bjork · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 7:44MINBrandon Duhaime · Holdingdrawn by Buddy Robinson2 min
  • 11:27CHIBuddy Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
  • 12:20MINMarcus Foligno · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Andreas Englund2 min
  • 12:20CHIAndreas Englund · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 12:20MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Andreas Englund5 min
  • 12:20MINMarcus Foligno · Game misconduct10 min
  • 19:30MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Johansson, 3rd 16:47 — MIN 48% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.23J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.20A. Bjork · Goal · xG 0.20W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.15A. Bjork · On goal · xG 0.11W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.08J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.08R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.06A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.06B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.04A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.03R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02B. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01B. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.00R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.00J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
2.13 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.02 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN33%67%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
22
Shots on goal
42
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
0/3
21
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
21
31
Blocked shots
12
12
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000+110.03060—21:49
3J. KlingbergD000+110.01050—21:38
4J. MerrillD000+210.02022—21:29
33A. GoligoskiD000+110.07330—20:51
12M. BoldyL112+230.52100—19:48
89F. GaudreauC000+230.141304119:03
90M. JohanssonL213+330.12010—18:38
5J. MiddletonD000000.00130—18:25
38R. HartmanR011+210.070201715:36
13S. SteelC000-100.041005015:18
28G. NyquistR101020.63110—14:15
26C. DewarC000+100.002102013:44
75R. ReavesR000-100.00200—13:23
2C. AddisonD011-120.07010—12:59
23M. RossiC000-110.061105012:47
21B. DuhaimeL000030.27302—12:36
17M. FolignoL000-100.003117—12:02
19N. PetanC000-100.00010011:09
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)42402.9522.29+0.2960:00

Season series

MIN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).