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Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV TVAS·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 8:32 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 30, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (3 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sam Steel (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    S. Steel2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0909112130
MINMIN1102715422

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:54

2nd period

  1. MIN
    pokexG 0.24win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    8:32
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +5 pts
    0-3
    19:17

3rd period

  1. CHI
    J. Toews(10)PPG
    P. Kane (18), S. Jones (8)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    1-3
    8:27
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.66
    1-4
    17:51

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·MIN 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:29MINMason Shaw · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 11:40CHIPatrick Kane · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 13:55MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 13:55MINCalen Addison · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 13:55CHIColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min

2nd

  • 13:39MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:51MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 18:46CHIPhilipp Kurashev · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

3rd

  • 8:20MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCHI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 8:32 — MIN 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.66J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.28K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.24K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.20R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.16M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.15M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.14S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.12M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.11M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.10M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.10J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.07S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN4 G · 3.3 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsMIN
2.21 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI46%54%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsMIN
30
Shots on goal
22
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/5
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
12
13
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
12
8
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR011-230.17012—23:55
4S. JonesD011-150.29140—22:30
13M. DomiC000-210.030003820:32
82C. JonesD000020.26310—20:17
5C. MurphyD000-210.02220—18:13
6J. McCabeD000030.12030—17:36
8J. JohnsonD000010.01010—17:08
24S. LaffertyC000-110.101005017:03
25J. TinordiD000-200.00100—16:44
19J. ToewsC101-240.410107616:26
11T. RaddyshR000-210.06010—15:41
89A. AthanasiouC000-120.08110015:24
23P. KurashevC000-100.0601210014:38
17J. DickinsonC000020.220105014:16
58M. EntwistleR000020.141005014:15
16J. KhairaL000000.001108013:31
52R. JohnsonC000010.15200010:02
43C. BlackwellC000010.11002009:37
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)21183.8572.43-0.5759:41

Season series

MIN leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).