Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 8:32 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CHI 30, MIN 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (3 G, 1 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sam Steel (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Zuccarello3 G, 1 A

- ★★K. Kaprizov1 G, 2 A

- ★★★S. Steel2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-14:54
2nd period
0-28:32
0-319:17
3rd period
1-38:27
1-417:51
Penalties
1st
- 10:29
Mason Shaw · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
- 11:40
Patrick Kane · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
- 13:55
Matt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
- 13:55
Calen Addison · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
- 13:55
Colin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min
2nd
- 13:39
served by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 16:51
Kirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
- 18:46
Philipp Kurashev · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
3rd
- 8:20
Jonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, 2nd 8:32 — 71% → 86%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.21 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 1.70 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.38
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 1/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 12
- 13
- Hits
- 20
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 8
- Giveaways
- 5
- 5
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 4-0
4@
3SOFinal
1@
4this game
1@
3Final
4@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
