Skip to content

New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV BSMW, MSG·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Kasperi Kapanen scoring at 1:16. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 1:16 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYR 24, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Tyler Pitlick (1 G), 2. Kasperi Kapanen (1 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    T. Pitlick1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    K. Kapanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR060122600224
STLSTL08151613322

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    8:00

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad (48), A. Fox (59)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    1:55
  2. STL
    N. Walker (8), T. Krug (25)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +32 pts
    1-2
    10:13
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    17:57

Overtime

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (43), J. Faulk (36)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    1:16

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:12NYRJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

3rd

  • 0:57STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Filip Chytil2 min
  • 17:40STLJustin Faulk · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, OT 1:16 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.29K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.25B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.24K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.21J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.13N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.08T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.02C. Rosen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 2.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSTL
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 64 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR33%67%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
22
65%
Faceoffs
35%
2/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
8
14
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91V. TarasenkoR112-160.28000—20:19
79K. MillerD000-110.07120—20:16
10A. PanarinL011-210.0300010019:29
23A. FoxD011-200.00010—19:08
77N. MikkolaD000000.00020—18:52
4B. SchneiderD000010.02220—18:44
8J. TroubaD000000.04212—18:33
24K. KakkoR000-120.08000—18:09
93M. ZibanejadC011000.000105017:25
16V. TrocheckC101-220.250008816:59
13A. LafrenièreL000-120.20000—16:45
20C. KreiderL000020.15000—15:12
26J. VeseyL000000.00000—14:59
14T. MotteC000040.25010014:37
72F. ChytilC000-110.170104314:37
55R. LindgrenD000-200.01110—14:15
21B. GoodrowC000020.193006013:16
5B. HarpurD000000.00200—10:30
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(O)22193.8642.70-0.3060:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).