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Blues at Rangers
NHL

St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
4
New York Rangers
▸6
FinalTV NHLN, BSMW·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the St. Louis Blues 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 8:16 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were STL 29, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 4.0 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 25 of 29 (.862). Three stars: 1. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 1 A), 2. K'Andre Miller (1 G), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    K. Miller1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Lafrenière1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL1931307429
NYRNYR2616312624

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    B. Schneider(3)
    J. Gauthier (2)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:14
  2. STL
    P. Buchnevich(9)
    N. Leddy (8), R. Thomas (18)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:24
  3. NYR
    A. Fox(7)PPG
    A. Panarin (23), V. Trocheck (8)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:32

2nd period

  1. STL
    V. Tarasenko(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    0:12
  2. NYR
    V. Trocheck(9)
    A. Panarin (24), J. Trouba (7)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-3
    1:07
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(10)PPG
    J. Faulk (12), I. Barbashev (8)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    11:04
  4. STL
    R. O'Reilly(8)
    B. Schenn (12), J. Kyrou (11)
    backhandxG 0.54win prob +20 pts
    4-3
    12:35

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Miller(1)
    A. Lafrenière (8)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    4:48
  2. NYR
    A. Lafrenière(4)
    M. Zibanejad (16)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +29 pts
    4-5
    8:16
  3. NYR
    C. Kreider(13)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +14 pts
    4-6
    14:04

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·NYR 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:21NYRRyan Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 19:26STLJordan Kyrou · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min

2nd

  • 6:40NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 6:40STLVladimir Tarasenko · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 6:54NYRRyan Lindgren · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 9:25NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Holdingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

3rd

  • 13:39NYRVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 3rd 8:16 — NYR 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.19K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.19J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.16B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.14K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.10V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · Goal · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hajek · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 2.0 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
3.64 G
All situations
6 G2.0
2.83 G
Even strength
4 G1.4
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL75%25%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
29
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011-330.14220—23:30
47T. KrugD000-210.11230—22:07
55C. ParaykoD000+220.08010—21:44
18R. ThomasC011+200.000004621:16
89P. BuchnevichL101+240.92200—20:18
25J. KyrouR112-230.27012—19:31
90R. O'ReillyC101-320.702005018:59
10B. SchennC011-330.35300018:54
4N. LeddyD011+200.00010—18:50
91V. TarasenkoR101+210.25002—18:31
20B. SaadL000-110.18100—14:40
52N. AcciariC000-110.241105013:47
77N. MikkolaD000-110.02200—13:40
41R. BortuzzoD000-100.00010—11:33
49I. BarbashevL011-230.101103311:31
26N. WalkerL000010.19210—11:16
9T. PitlickC000010.00200010:37
17J. LeivoL000-120.04100—10:23
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)24186.7502.00-4.0056:47

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).