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Stars at Coyotes
NHL

Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸5
Utah Mammoth
2
FinalTV BSAZX, BSSW·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 19:38 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were DAL 31, ARI 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Karel Vejmelka stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 3 A), 2. Roope Hintz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juuso Välimäki (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Välimäki1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL18211212531
ARIARI290405218

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Pavelski(23)
    E. Lindell (15), J. Robertson (51)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:23
  2. ARI
    J. Välimäki(4)PPG
    C. Keller (46), T. Boyd (17)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    5:32
  3. ARI
    C. Mackey(3)
    T. Boyd (18), C. Fischer (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:14

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(34)
    J. Robertson (52), M. Heiskanen (52)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    0:53
  2. DAL
    J. Robertson(42)
    R. Hintz (35), M. Heiskanen (53)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +24 pts
    3-2
    19:38

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(32)PPG
    J. Robertson (53), M. Heiskanen (54)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    4:56
  2. DAL
    M. Domi(20)EN
    E. Lindell (16)
    backhandxG 0.92win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:59

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:22DALJoel Kiviranta · Boardingdrawn by Brett Ritchie2 min
  • 18:34ARIBrett Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min

2nd

  • 16:28ARINick Schmaltz · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:47ARIJoshua Brown · Trippingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 9:53DALWyatt Johnston · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:13ARIVictor Soderstrom · High sticking double minordrawn by Roope Hintz4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalDAL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 19:38 — DAL 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.18T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.13T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.13T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.13J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.13T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.09C. Mackey · Goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.08T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.06M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04J. Välimäki · Goal · xG 0.04M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mackey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsARI
4.44 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
1.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL69%31%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.94 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsARI
31
Shots on goal
18
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD033+220.21020—26:39
20R. SuterD000030.08040—22:52
21J. RobertsonL134+340.75110—20:11
16J. PavelskiC101+320.361105817:46
6C. MillerD000+140.52210—17:45
2J. HakanpääD000+210.02310—17:23
23E. LindellD022+220.03120—16:32
91T. SeguinC000-100.001005616:09
14J. BennL101020.211006316:04
18M. DomiC101010.921008015:25
24R. HintzC112+330.420003315:16
53W. JohnstonC000020.221026014:57
63E. DadonovL000000.00100—14:42
12R. FaksaC000000.3700010014:19
10T. DellandreaC000+130.1311010013:25
11L. GlendeningC000000.131107113:22
44J. HanleyD000-100.00000—13:02
25J. KivirantaL000020.04202—12:20
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)18162.8891.93-0.0759:41

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).