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Utah Mammoth at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSAZX, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 4:52 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 67% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were ARI 33, DAL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Radek Faksa (2 G), 2. Jake Oettinger (33 saves, 1.000), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Faksa2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger33 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI01301109033
DALDAL317110012439

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.29win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:36
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(18)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    4:52
  3. DAL
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    13:17

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:32

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:58ARIPatrik Nemeth · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min
  • 16:10ARIPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

2nd

  • 4:12DALColin Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 8:11DALLuke Glendening · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:49ARIShayne Gostisbehere · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 10:07ARINick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 16:13DALJoel Hanley · Trippingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalARI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jamie Benn, 1st 4:52 — DAL 67% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.29D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.15M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.15W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.09R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.08W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.05F. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.02D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL4 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsDAL
2.60 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI39%61%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.52 – 3.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
39
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
21
7
Blocked shots
9
9
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD000-110.08002—22:28
6J. ChychrunD000-230.14100—20:56
9C. KellerR000-130.23100—19:52
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.19010019:05
72T. BoydC000-150.291003119:02
90J. MoserD000-100.00310—18:54
17N. BjugstadC000020.052002218:28
29B. HaytonC000-220.122106218:26
22J. McBainC000000.273006716:44
51T. StecherD000020.11210—16:37
2P. NemethD000-120.03114—15:32
36C. FischerR000040.13200—15:10
12N. RitchieL000-120.12102—15:04
11D. GuentherR000010.08110—13:49
4J. VälimäkiD000010.11100—12:31
3J. BrownD000-100.00310—11:18
53M. CarconeL000-120.47000—11:13
44Z. KassianR000-210.22000—07:10
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)39354.8973.18-0.8259:47

Season series

DAL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).