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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV SN360, TVAS·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frederick Gaudreau's goal at 9:10 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 61% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.6 to 2.8; shots on goal were MIN 29, COL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Frederick Gaudreau (2 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 A), 3. Bowen Byram (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    F. Gaudreau2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Byram1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN21111414429
COLCOL111014119244

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Johansson(16)
    J. Eriksson Ek (36), M. Dumba (10)
    snapxG 0.31win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24
  2. COL
    B. Byram(10)
    J. Compher (33), J. Johnson (6)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    10:43
  3. MIN
    S. Steel(9)
    J. Klingberg (20), R. Hartman (20)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    16:02

2nd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(15)SHG
    J. Brodin (11)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    3-1
    9:10

3rd period

  1. COL
    L. Eller(10)
    D. Toews (34), S. Girard (27)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    13:41
  2. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(16)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.34win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    19:27

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:28MINAlex Goligoski · Trippingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min
  • 8:34COLBowen Byram · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 9:12MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 9:37COLLars Eller · High stickingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 8:56MINOskar Sundqvist · Boardingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 11:51COLLogan O'Connor · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

3rd

  • 5:48MINJake Middleton · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 19:08MINJared Spurgeon · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Frederick Gaudreau, 2nd 9:10 — MIN 61% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Byram · Goal · xG 0.21A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.15B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.12S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.12L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.10A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.10E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.07B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.07M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.05V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 3.6 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
2.83 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.62 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
29
Shots on goal
44
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
27
21
Blocked shots
12
2
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD011+140.17220—22:35
25J. BrodinD011+210.03270—22:29
46J. SpurgeonD000+100.00012—22:16
5J. MiddletonD000010.04212—19:49
90M. JohanssonL101020.57010—17:57
12M. BoldyL000020.150105017:28
89F. GaudreauC202+130.822104317:18
38R. HartmanR011+140.192003817:06
36M. ZuccarelloR000-120.24100—16:19
14J. Eriksson EkC011+340.182024016:16
3J. KlingbergD011030.11110—15:30
13S. SteelC101010.081104014:45
4J. MerrillD000+100.00140—14:37
17M. FolignoL000010.01500—14:16
70O. SundqvistC000000.00302011:52
26C. DewarC000010.220107510:56
15M. ShawC000000.00000010:47
33A. GoligoskiD000000.00002—09:01
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)44422.9553.60+1.6059:58

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).