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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV BSMW, SNP·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-5 in overtime, Jakub Vrana scoring at 0:28. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Blues led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Vrana's goal at 0:28 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were VAN 37, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.3 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Vrana (2 G), 2. Quinn Hughes (2 G, 1 A), 3. Justin Faulk (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Vrana2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Faulk1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN21311221200537
STLSTL217380511631

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser (35), J. Miller (45)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:06
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    11:50
  3. STL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    16:48
  4. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    2-2
    19:41

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad (13)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    2-3
    7:24
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(17)PPG
    J. Faulk (31), B. Saad (14)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    12:08
  3. STL
    K. Kapanen (17), S. Blais (14)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +7 pts
    2-5
    13:36
  4. VAN
    B. Boeser(16)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    18:28

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +11 pts
    4-5
    12:18
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser (36), D. Joshua (10)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +46 pts
    5-5
    19:06

Overtime

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (37), J. Faulk (32)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +49 pts
    5-6
    0:28

Penalties

VAN 7 PIM·STL 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:57STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

2nd

  • 9:24STLJake Neighbours · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs5 min
  • 9:24VANKyle Burroughs · Fightingdrawn by Jake Neighbours5 min
  • 11:46VANDakota Joshua · Slashingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 18:17STLJakub Vrana · Hookingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 9:40STLJordan Kyrou · Holding the stickdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Vrana, OT 0:28 — STL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.26P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.21P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.11J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.09A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.09J. Faulk · Goal · xG 0.09T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.09J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.07R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.07B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.02A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01
STL6 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
3.95 G
All situations
6 G2.7
3.03 G
Even strength
5 G2.6
0.92 G
Power play
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN68%32%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.87 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
37
Shots on goal
31
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/3
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
15
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
16
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD213+140.25120—28:33
17F. HronekD000-300.02010—23:55
9J. MillerC022-120.253005822:12
6B. BoeserR123-130.6200010021:48
40E. PetterssonC022+120.210206319:44
96A. KuzmenkoL202+230.79010—18:43
34P. Di GiuseppeL000-150.21100—18:22
57T. MyersD011040.21200—17:55
74E. BearD000010.06000—16:01
44K. BurroughsD000010.02415—15:21
8C. GarlandR000-150.38110—15:10
55G. BriseboisD000-200.03000—14:26
88N. AmanC000000.000004314:12
81D. JoshuaC011+220.49202014:01
72A. BeauvillierR000-130.18000—12:51
91V. KravtsovR000-100.13000—10:17
15S. DriesC000-100.000005609:50
18J. StudnickaC000-120.091107509:26
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(O)31256.8062.72-3.2858:43

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).