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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues

Final/OTTV BSMW, SNP·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, Elias Pettersson scoring at 4:45. The Canucks came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Pettersson's goal at 4:45 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were VAN 41, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Jordan Binnington stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Elias Pettersson (1 G, 2 A), 2. J.T. Miller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (38 saves, .927).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Miller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington38 saves, .927

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VANVAN01401121412341
STLSTL16170504222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.25win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    15:29

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    6:45

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller(20)SHG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    9:08
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.20win prob +46 pts
    2-2
    19:31

Overtime

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:45

Penalties

VAN 11 PIM·STL 13 PIM

1st

  • 3:07STLserved by T. Pitlick · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 8:26VANGuillaume Brisebois · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 14:27STLRobert Bortuzzo · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min

2nd

  • 6:45VANserved by C. Garland · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 17:11STLIvan Barbashev · Hookingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 3:44VANSheldon Dries · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Walker5 min
  • 3:44STLNathan Walker · Fightingdrawn by Sheldon Dries5 min
  • 4:17STLRobert Thomas · Holding the stickdrawn by Ethan Bear2 min
  • 7:42VANNils Aman · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVAN goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Elias Pettersson, OT 4:45 — VAN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.42R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.37C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.26A. Toropchenko · Goal · xG 0.25R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.24B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.23R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08J. Leivo · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.03T. Tucker · Goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.8 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsSTL
3.83 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN74%26%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 2.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsSTL
41
Shots on goal
22
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
13
10
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000010.04000—30:48
9J. MillerC112+150.850005724:35
74E. BearD011+110.04010—24:33
40E. PetterssonC123+1100.701102522:33
96A. KuzmenkoL101-130.53000—21:25
6B. BoeserR000+130.4400010021:14
57T. MyersD000-110.01030—21:07
8C. GarlandR000+140.46100—18:43
72A. BeauvillierR011-130.36000—16:09
18J. StudnickaC000020.022004014:12
44K. BurroughsD000010.01230—14:09
81D. JoshuaC000000.1410010014:07
86C. WolaninD000010.01000—13:20
55G. BriseboisD000+140.12112—12:27
88N. AmanC000010.090121712:07
92V. PodkolzinR000000.00100—10:40
15S. DriesC000010.02025009:54
27A. RätyC000000.001006707:37
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Silovs(W)22202.9092.37+0.3763:20

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).