Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Philadelphia Flyers beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Frost's goal at 17:45 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were MTL 29, PHI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cayden Primeau stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Felix Sandstrom stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Morgan Frost (2 G), 2. Felix Sandstrom (27 saves, .931), 3. Cam York (1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Frost2 G

- ★★F. Sandstrom27 saves, .931

- ★★★C. York1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-13:41
1-19:39
3rd period
1-217:45
1-318:14
2-319:37
Penalties
2nd
- 1:39
Denis Gurianov · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
- 17:59
Mike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Morgan Frost, 3rd 17:45 — 52% → 95%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.42 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.4
- 2.12 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.9
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 57%
- Faceoffs
- 43%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 16
- Hits
- 22
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 9
- Giveaways
- 2
- 9
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-1
4@
5SOFinal
5@
2Final
2@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
