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Montréal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN2·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-2. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Tierney's goal at 19:55 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.3 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 31, PHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Carter Hart stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (2 A), 2. Jesse Ylonen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Allen (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    M. Hoffman2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Ylonen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Allen24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL21416211531
PHIPHI06010210226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:50
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    19:55

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(19)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    7:12

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    3-1
    0:09
  2. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    6:26
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.11
    5-1
    12:12
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.10
    5-2
    18:32

Penalties

MTL 5 PIM·PHI 19 PIM

1st

  • 7:52PHIOlle Lycksell · Slashingdrawn by David Savard2 min

2nd

  • 6:53MTLAlex Belzile · Fightingdrawn by Wade Allison5 min
  • 6:53PHIWade Allison · Instigatordrawn by Alex Belzile2 min
  • 6:53PHIWade Allison · Fightingdrawn by Alex Belzile5 min
  • 6:53PHIWade Allison · Instigator misconductdrawn by Alex Belzile10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalMTL goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Tierney, 1st 19:55 — MTL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.11I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.10O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.08M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.08W. Allison · On goal · xG 0.08N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.07P. Brown · Missed · xG 0.06O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.06M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.02W. Allison · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.02P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01
PHI2 G · 1.6 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsPHI
2.35 G
All situations
2 G1.6
1.94 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL65%35%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsPHI
31
Shots on goal
26
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/0
5
Penalty minutes
19
17
Hits
32
15
Blocked shots
18
10
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
54J. HarrisD000-120.04030—20:38
26J. KovacevicD011-200.00210—19:57
64C. SchuenemanD000030.04120—19:49
8M. MathesonD011+350.12100—19:27
52J. BarronD011+210.07010—19:24
58D. SavardD101+220.17030—18:22
63E. DadonovL000-120.20000—17:56
32R. PitlickC000-100.04000016:37
49R. Harvey-PinardL011+100.12120—16:07
14N. SuzukiC101+110.120104716:05
28C. DvorakC000-110.022007115:57
17J. AndersonR101+150.41000—15:22
56J. YlonenR112+210.07000—14:57
68M. HoffmanC022+230.48100014:53
27J. DrouinL011+210.100003014:48
55M. PezzettaL011010.04610—13:56
67C. TierneyC101010.130008313:12
60A. BelzileR000020.123157112:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)26242.9231.56-0.4460:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).