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Oilers at Coyotes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
Utah Mammoth
4
FinalTV BSAZX, TVAS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 5-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 12:05 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 55% to 83%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.5, ARI 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 29, ARI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 1 A), 2. Matias Maccelli (2 G), 3. Barrett Hayton (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    M. Maccelli2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    B. Hayton2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31011316529
ARIARI21406213433

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    M. Maccelli(9)
    J. McBain (10), L. Crouse (18)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:50
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(32)PPG
    C. McDavid (80), R. Nugent-Hopkins (57)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +8 pts
    1-1
    4:40
  3. ARI
    B. Hayton(16)PPG
    L. Crouse (19), N. Schmaltz (32)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    1-2
    12:59
  4. EDM
    E. Bouchard(5)
    W. Foegele (12), N. Bjugstad (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    13:34
  5. EDM
    D. Nurse(9)SHG
    K. Yamamoto (12)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    18:11

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(46)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.02win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    14:32

3rd period

  1. ARI
    M. Maccelli(10)
    L. Crouse (20), J. McBain (11)
    pokexG 0.47win prob +16 pts
    4-3
    3:52
  2. ARI
    B. Hayton(17)
    C. Keller (45), N. Schmaltz (33)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    4:50
  3. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(34)PPG
    E. Bouchard (28), L. Draisaitl (68)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +28 pts
    5-4
    12:05

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:34ARINate Smith · Holdingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 8:31EDMserved by W. Foegele · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:59EDMVincent Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 14:39EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Jack McBain2 min
  • 15:41ARIVictor Soderstrom · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min
  • 16:42EDMConnor McDavid · Hookingdrawn by Matias Maccelli2 min

3rd

  • 9:56ARIJoshua Brown · Slashingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 11:48ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 3rd 12:05 — EDM 55% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.47N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.23M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.19L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.18J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.13N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.12N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.12N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.11C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.11B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.09B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.09T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.08B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.08J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.07M. Maccelli · Goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.04J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03P. Nemeth · Missed · xG 0.02C. Mackey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kelemen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI4 G · 3.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
3.55 G
All situations
4 G3.4
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.62 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM45%55%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
29
Shots on goal
33
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
33
10
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000+120.23200—24:58
2E. BouchardD112+110.08000—23:12
25D. NurseD101-140.15120—22:23
97C. McDavidC011-230.312125420:17
5C. CeciD000-210.01200—18:16
29L. DraisaitlC112010.480225717:47
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112010.381005017:01
18Z. HymanL101040.52200—16:55
91E. KaneL000-220.14400—16:00
27B. KulakD000+120.04110—15:42
26M. JanmarkC000+110.01000015:23
72N. BjugstadC011+130.183105013:51
56K. YamamotoR011000.11000—13:29
73V. DesharnaisD000000.00112—13:25
37W. FoegeleL011+130.70000—13:10
10D. RyanC000000.001001711:11
21K. KostinC000010.15220010:24
19D. ShoreC000000.000005009:43
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(W)33294.8793.40-0.6059:57

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).