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Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV BSAZX, SN1·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 8-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derek Ryan's goal at 16:41 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were ARI 18, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 27 of 35 (.771), 4.1 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 2. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G, 1 A), 3. Derek Ryan (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Ryan1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI061418218
EDMEDM21431635835

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    4:37
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:41

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.26win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    8:14
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    1-3
    13:43
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.28win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:06
  4. EDM
    snapxG 0.08win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:39

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.16
    1-6
    3:19
  2. EDM
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07
    1-7
    5:08
  3. EDM
    Z. Hyman (18), T. Barrie (13)
    snapxG 0.05
    1-8
    12:43
  4. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.11
    2-8
    14:13

Penalties

ARI 27 PIM·EDM 11 PIM

1st

  • 3:53ARIPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 9:59ARIJuuso Välimäki · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Holloway2 min
  • 18:17EDMCody Ceci · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 19:35ARILawson Crouse · Interferencedrawn by Kailer Yamamoto2 min

2nd

  • 7:25ARIJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 13:45ARIClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 13:45EDMKlim Kostin · Roughingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 16:11EDMDevin Shore · Holdingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 19:29ARIZack Kassian · Cross checkingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 19:29ARIZack Kassian · Fightingdrawn by Klim Kostin5 min
  • 19:29ARIZack Kassian · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:29EDMKlim Kostin · Fightingdrawn by Zack Kassian5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Derek Ryan, 1st 16:41 — EDM 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.32R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.27D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.27L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.26D. Ryan · Goal · xG 0.18K. Kostin · Goal · xG 0.16J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.16D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.15K. Yamamoto · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.07D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.03M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hamblin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM8 G · 3.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
1.72 G
All situations
8 G3.9
1.52 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI16%84%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
18
Shots on goal
35
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
2/5
27
Penalty minutes
11
29
Hits
14
16
Blocked shots
8
10
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14S. GostisbehereD101+120.25010—22:42
6J. ChychrunD011+130.13120—21:43
2P. NemethD000-100.03342—19:45
90J. MoserD000-400.00130—19:32
51T. StecherD000-110.02030—19:16
8N. SchmaltzC000-200.210105016:43
67L. CrouseL000-210.15302—16:32
17N. BjugstadC000-210.025006516:31
9C. KellerR000-100.00002—16:06
11D. GuentherR000-100.00000—15:24
4J. VälimäkiD000-410.04112—15:16
72T. BoydC000-220.281003015:13
29B. HaytonC000-110.115005014:30
36C. FischerR022+130.07100—13:43
22J. McBainC101+120.181124513:30
63M. MaccelliL000-210.12000—13:25
38L. O'BrienC000000.10400012:16
44Z. KassianR000-200.003017—10:01
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(L)35278.7713.92-4.0859:48

Season series

EDM leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).