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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalPPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 18:40 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.5 to 4.0; shots on goal were WSH 34, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 36 of 40 (.900); Casey DeSmith stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (1 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 3. Dylan Strome (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    D. Strome1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH09014311334
PITPIT013215212440

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Poehling(6)
    D. Heinen (14)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    0-1
    10:10
  2. PIT
    C. Ruhwedel(1)
    J. Zucker (20), M. Granlund (29)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    12:17

3rd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(32)PPG
    R. Rakell (26)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    0:27
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(9)
    E. Kuznetsov (41)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +4 pts
    1-3
    5:19
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(42)PPG
    J. Carlson (15), D. Strome (39)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    2-3
    13:18
  4. WSH
    D. Strome(18)
    C. Sheary (20), N. Aube-Kubel (8)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    17:16
  5. PIT
    E. Malkin(25)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +43 pts
    3-4
    18:40

Penalties

WSH 13 PIM·PIT 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:48WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 9:47WSHT.J. Oshie · High stickingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min
  • 14:28PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 17:03WSHRasmus Sandin · Fightingdrawn by Josh Archibald5 min
  • 17:03PITJosh Archibald · Fightingdrawn by Rasmus Sandin5 min
  • 18:52WSHNicklas Backstrom · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 3:42WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 4:20PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 13:14PITRyan Poehling · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 18:40 — PIT 52% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.27J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.24R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.23D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.21R. Poehling · Goal · xG 0.20E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.18J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.14M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.14J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.12E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.09K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08C. Ruhwedel · Goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ruhwedel · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.00D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
4.53 G
All situations
4 G4.0
3.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.70 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH57%43%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.33 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
40
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/3
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
31
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
15
13
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+170.50110—26:53
8A. OvechkinL101-240.43212—21:04
3N. JensenD000000.03300—20:50
42M. FehérváryD000020.11220—20:30
43T. WilsonR101+130.57220—19:56
38R. SandinD000-100.15305—18:53
77T. OshieR000-120.444126018:06
19N. BackstromC000-110.220124217:52
17D. StromeC112+160.730004717:16
57T. van RiemsdykD000-200.01020—16:36
92E. KuznetsovC011-100.001207515:57
73C. ShearyL011+120.42100—13:50
26N. DowdC000010.226106913:37
59A. ProtasL000000.0010010012:11
39A. ManthaR000-240.41100—12:00
27A. AlexeyevD000000.01010—11:42
96N. Aube-KubelR011+100.18402—11:26
16C. SmithC000-120.04000004:54
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)40364.9004.000.0058:52

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).