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Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

FinalTV TNT, TVAS·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock McGinn's goal at 12:53 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 62% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were PIT 28, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock McGinn (1 G), 2. Casey DeSmith (24 saves, .960), 3. Marcus Johansson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    B. McGinn1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    C. DeSmith24 saves, .960
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Johansson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01031018428
WSHWSH0701117125

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.02win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    7:43
  2. PIT
    B. McGinn(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.22win prob +19 pts
    2-0
    12:53
  3. PIT
    slapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    15:05

3rd period

  1. WSH
    snapxG 0.31win prob +3 pts
    3-1
    12:22
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.70win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:24

Penalties

PIT 13 PIM·WSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 18:52WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 1:03PITSidney Crosby · Interferencedrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 9:52WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 12:30PITJan Rutta · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 17:46PITJeff Carter · Roughingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

3rd

  • 13:31PITBryan Rust · Fightingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk5 min
  • 13:31WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Fightingdrawn by Bryan Rust5 min
  • 13:48WSHConor Sheary · Illegal check to headdrawn by Filip Hallander2 min
  • 19:39PITJosh Archibald · Slashingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock McGinn, 2nd 12:53 — PIT 62% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.31A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.26E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.24A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.17N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.14A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.14A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.10N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.04E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.04T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.00T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.6 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
3.23 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT47%53%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
28
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
11
32
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
7
16
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+100.00220—28:48
26J. PetryD101+210.06620—24:49
28M. PetterssonD011+240.03130—23:48
8B. DumoulinD000+110.02210—21:58
87S. CrosbyC011+220.191226120:42
59J. GuentzelC112+220.85100019:37
17B. RustR000+110.03225—18:25
71E. MalkinC011+110.221003616:45
16J. ZuckerL101+150.36300—15:00
67R. RakellR011+230.57210—14:44
77J. CarterC011010.230026314:18
23B. McGinnL101040.4300010013:10
15J. ArchibaldR000010.017125012:23
25R. PoehlingC000010.040103811:31
43D. HeinenL000-110.11010—11:04
36F. HallanderC000000.00130011:01
44J. RuttaD000000.00202—08:55
73P. JosephD000000.02100—06:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(W)25241.9602.63+1.6360:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).