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Sabres at Islanders
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸2
New York Islanders
0
FinalUBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the New York Islanders 2-0. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Okposo's goal at 13:31 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 35, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Comrie (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Kyle Okposo (1 G), 3. Semyon Varlamov (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    E. Comrie26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BUF
    K. Okposo1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01309213235
NYINYI0701108026

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. BUF
    K. Okposo(10)
    I. Lyubushkin (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +38 pts
    1-0
    13:31
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(31)EN
    D. Cozens (33), C. Mittelstadt (33)
    wristxG 0.82win prob +3 pts
    2-0
    19:28

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:45NYIPierre Engvall · High stickingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min

2nd

  • 3:42NYIZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 12:10BUFJack Quinn · Hookingdrawn by Hudson Fasching2 min
  • 16:14BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 4:28NYINoah Dobson · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBUF goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Kyle Okposo, 3rd 13:31 — BUF 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.20H. Fasching · Missed · xG 0.15H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.08M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI0 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYI
3.41 G
All situations
0 G1.7
1.61 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF61%39%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
26
29%
Faceoffs
71%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
10
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD000010.10322—27:03
25O. PowerD000+250.28010—25:56
10H. JokiharjuD000020.13010—20:54
46I. LyubushkinD011+210.00000—19:24
89A. TuchR000030.230102218:43
72T. ThompsonC000020.22000017:03
24D. CozensC011+160.371002116:57
37C. MittelstadtC011+130.292002516:17
22J. QuinnR000010.00142—15:55
77J. PeterkaR000020.11010—15:48
53J. SkinnerL101+121.21000—15:46
21K. OkposoR101+130.331007115:00
19P. KrebsC000+110.001004013:55
28Z. GirgensonsC000+100.0011010013:12
71V. OlofssonL000020.11000—12:14
17T. JostC000000.00020011:35
61R. StillmanD000000.02000—10:47
78J. BrysonD000010.02010—10:21
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Comrie(W)262601.0001.71+1.7159:10

Season series

BUF leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).