New York Rangers at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 4-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Kane's goal at 1:22 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 48% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 42, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 38 of 42 (.905), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Chytil (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 G), 3. Kaapo Kakko (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-19:15
0-214:46
2nd period
1-28:50
2-218:15
3rd period
3-21:22
4-26:18
4-37:00
Penalties
1st
- 2:29
Eric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
- 9:15
served by P. Kane · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- 11:41
Patrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
- 15:21
Ryan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
2nd
- 4:13
Marc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
3rd
- 20:00
Brandon Montour · Slashingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrick Kane, 3rd 1:22 — 48% → 72%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.84 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.5
- 2.64 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.0
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.74 – 2.35
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 42
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 20
- Hits
- 17
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 4
- Giveaways
- 14
- 6
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
