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Florida Panthers at New York Rangers

FinalTV BSFLX, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Florida Panthers 6-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 15:03 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were FLA 35, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (2 G, 1 A), 2. Artemi Panarin (3 A), 3. Adam Fox (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    A. Fox1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA18014113235
NYRNYR2617313626

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox(10)
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:03
  2. FLA
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    5:56
  3. NYR
    A. Panarin (37), A. Fox (37)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    17:21

2nd period

  1. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    15:03

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Kakko (12), F. Chytil (13)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    7:56
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin (38), A. Fox (38)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    8:10
  3. FLA
    wristxG 0.12
    2-5
    11:02
  4. NYR
    F. Chytil(13)EN
    wristxG 0.91
    2-6
    16:49

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:24NYRserved by A. Lafrenière · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:53FLANick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

2nd

  • 17:10NYRBen Harpur · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalFLA goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 2nd 15:03 — NYR 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Chytil · Goal · xG 0.91I. Shesterkin · Missed · xG 0.43A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.26A. Fox · Goal · xG 0.25A. Lafrenière · Goal · xG 0.20J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.15F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.14J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.13J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.06J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR6 G · 4.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNYR
2.92 G
All situations
5 G4.2
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA55%45%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.86 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNYR
35
Shots on goal
26
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
21
16
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000-140.08100—24:47
42G. ForslingD000-200.01000—23:38
62B. MontourD011-170.48010—23:11
19M. TkachukL011-120.27000—21:24
13S. ReinhartC000-100.140207521:05
16A. BarkovC101-150.891004720:34
23C. VerhaegheC101020.16010020:13
27E. LuostarinenC011-210.221104417:19
15A. LundellC011-330.1900010016:29
14G. DenisenkoL000-230.12110—16:28
28J. MahuraD000-110.03010—16:13
18M. StaalD000-210.06320—15:03
7R. GudasD000-100.00300—15:01
21N. CousinsC000010.0920210013:46
71C. TierneyC000-100.002303813:25
9S. BennettC000010.021004409:20
94R. LombergL000-120.080105008:24
54G. SmithR000020.04100—06:55
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(L)25205.8002.64-2.3655:17

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).