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Jets at Ducks
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Anaheim Ducks
2
FinalTV BSW, TSN3·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 10:47 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were WPG 33, ANA 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry (1 G, 1 A), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Dubois1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1161918333
ANAANA1604110220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler(10)
    M. Jones (8), T. Terry (34)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:41
  2. WPG
    M. Appleton(3)
    D. DeMelo (18), A. Lowry (21)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:26

2nd period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(28)
    P. Dubois (33), N. Niederreiter (14)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    2-1
    13:45

3rd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(18)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (18), D. Grant (9)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    5:40
  2. WPG
    A. Lowry(11)
    B. Dillon (19), N. Pionk (20)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +33 pts
    3-2
    10:47

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:52ANADerek Grant · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 18:37WPGNeal Pionk · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

3rd

  • 4:31WPGKyle Capobianco · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 14:52ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 3rd 10:47 — WPG 48% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.07B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.06B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.03T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.02M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · Goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.00B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.00J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 1.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
3.73 G
All situations
2 G1.4
2.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG76%24%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 1.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
33
Shots on goal
20
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
8
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
6
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+140.13020—27:07
5B. DillonD011+100.02200—24:25
2D. DeMeloD011+130.17010—23:57
4N. PionkD011+230.11102—21:02
80P. DuboisC011+130.560203520:04
81K. ConnorL101040.56000—20:01
62N. NiederreiterR011010.04110—17:56
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.030004417:16
26B. WheelerR000010.12010—16:45
22M. AppletonC101+220.31000015:22
17A. LowryC112+210.190104215:12
27N. EhlersL000030.32100—15:09
7V. NamestnikovC000+220.9010010014:37
88N. SchmidtD000000.00010—13:11
8S. MaenalanenR000020.18100—08:59
36M. BarronC000010.0610010008:58
28K. StenlundC000000.000106408:53
77K. CapobiancoD000-110.03002—08:08
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)20182.9001.43-0.5759:52

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).