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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV BSSC, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Jets came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Barron's goal at 14:23 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 30, WPG 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 35 of 40 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Eyssimont, 2. Nate Schmidt (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Eyssimont
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Schmidt1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1181507230
WPGWPG07215318540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    15:16

2nd period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:09
  2. WPG
    pokexG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    10:31
  3. WPG
    K. Connor (14), P. Dubois (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:28

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +37 pts
    2-3
    14:23
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    2-4
    15:12
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.04
    2-5
    19:15

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:20ANAAdam Henrique · Trippingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 10:59WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min
  • 13:13WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 15:33ANAMax Jones · Interferencedrawn by Axel Jonsson-Fjallby2 min

2nd

  • 14:20ANASimon Benoit · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

3rd

  • 3:51WPGPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Max Jones2 min
  • 18:27ANAKevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Barron, 3rd 14:23 — WPG 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.26A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.18B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.16S. Maenalanen · Goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barron · Goal · xG 0.13S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.12M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.10M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.10S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.09M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.09M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.08S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.08M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gagner · Missed · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04S. Maenalanen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · Goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.03D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gagner · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Goal · xG 0.01S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.00S. Maenalanen · On goal · xG 0.00N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.00M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.9 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
2.72 G
All situations
5 G3.9
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA31%69%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 3.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
30
Shots on goal
40
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
18
12
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-300.00000—22:02
14A. HenriqueC000040.330026721:21
19T. TerryR000020.32000—19:41
11T. ZegrasC000-220.211008019:22
29D. KulikovD000010.04200—19:08
13S. BenoitD000-110.08042—18:43
33J. SilfverbergR101030.30020—18:10
77F. VatranoR011-160.46100—17:22
37M. McTavishC000-200.003003817:18
22K. ShattenkirkD011030.08112—17:15
16R. StromeC000-130.40200016:59
39S. CarrickC000+100.001105316:57
5U. VaakanainenD000-110.01000—15:17
20B. LeasonR101030.27110—12:48
49M. JonesL000000.00002—12:47
28N. BeaulieuD000010.14030—12:21
45C. WhiteD000+100.01000—10:06
40P. RegendaL000-100.00000—06:15
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)40355.8753.94-1.0659:20

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).